Re:China Can’t Sustain Its Debt-Fueled Binge, Moody’s Says
by draw_down on Wednesday May 24, 2017 @10:45PM
(#14414971)
Good rule of thumb if you're an individual investor. If you're China, well...
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Re:China Can’t Sustain Its Debt-Fueled Binge, Moody’s Says
by ethbro on Thursday May 25, 2017 @09:49AM
(#14417253)
I would also assume that a majority of the options to "call an irrational market's bluff" aren't freely available vis China. So it would be less exposed to international market driven deleveraging?
(Actually asking, I know they've been loosening their financial walls but am not sure what the current controls are)
Re:China Can’t Sustain Its Debt-Fueled Binge, Moody’s Says
by ryandamm on Thursday May 25, 2017 @01:07PM
(#14418572)
To the extent people are trying to trade on this model, they look for liquid marketplaces that are exposed to China's economy. Australian metals and mining stocks, for instance, or currency fluctuations in closely-pegged economies (forex being pretty darned liquid with a very deep futures market).
Chinese equities are something else entirely, closer to a derivative class. And hard to trade in directly (not that I have tried or would ever try -- I'm in index funds).
And the truth is, the banking system is less liquid, and the equities market much smaller, than developed economies. Oh, also, short-selling is illegal, I believe.
So no, there aren't any natural, market-driven checks on this stuff.