Re:Antarctica’s potential collapse could damage coastal citi...
by flukus on Monday May 22, 2017 @08:39AM
(#14393040)
> And, as I recall, predictions were stated with far greater uncertainty.
The bigger problem is people taking the upper bound of that uncertainty and concluding they were wrong because reality turned out to not be near the upper bound. Kind of like how political polls are "wrong", even when the result falls within the margin of error.
Re:Antarctica’s potential collapse could damage coastal citi...
by mirimir on Monday May 22, 2017 @09:19AM
(#14393293)
True. But some writers (even science writers) sensationalize by focusing on upper-bound estimates. And most people never see primary sources, even abstracts or executive summaries.
The bigger problem is people taking the upper bound of that uncertainty and concluding they were wrong because reality turned out to not be near the upper bound. Kind of like how political polls are "wrong", even when the result falls within the margin of error.