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Re:Ten Year Futures by stale2002 on Wednesday May 03, 2017 @08:46PM (#14261558)
You overestimate how good humans are at driving.

I'd argue that the shit self driving cars we have right now are ALREADY statistically safer than humans.

You don't have to be perfect. Just better than an average driver. And average drivers are drunk, sleep deprived, and texting. That is a very low bar to pass.

Re:Ten Year Futures by mattnewport on Wednesday May 03, 2017 @09:05PM (#14261642)
To sell you need the car to be a better driver than the customer thinks they are which is a higher bar since most drivers think they are better than average.
Re:Ten Year Futures by stale2002 on Wednesday May 03, 2017 @09:26PM (#14261725)
Doubt it.

Even if they were much more dangerous, there is still a huge market. Safely, is arguably pretty low on the list of things that consumers care about.

The problem with self driving cars right now is purely political.

But even that isn't insurmountable. All you have to do is release in a low government regulation red state, like Arizona.

And then the rest of the country will follow, once everyone in Arizona starts using them and realize how awesome they are.

Re:Ten Year Futures by kayoone on Thursday May 04, 2017 @02:34AM (#14262937)
Maybe on highways in good weather conditions we are close, but the chaos of cities like Paris, Madrid, Rome with their narrow roads and millions of edge case situations will be a tough problems for self driving AIs.
Re:Ten Year Futures by majormajor on Wednesday May 03, 2017 @11:02PM (#14262093)
I think you underestimate the effects of weather, amount of poorly lined roads out there, etc.