Re:Vanguard Is Growing Faster Than Everybody Else Combined
by gcb0 on Wednesday April 19, 2017 @04:02AM
(#14146202)
stock prices Do vary randomly.
[ Parent
| on HN ]
Re:Vanguard Is Growing Faster Than Everybody Else Combined
by rjtavares on Wednesday April 19, 2017 @04:32AM
(#14146317)
I'm assuming that is a reference to the random walk theory. That theory suggests that "the past movement or trend of a stock price or market cannot be used to predict its future movement". It's random in the sense of unpredictable, not in the sense of actauly being determined by chance.
The implication of the random walk theory is that current information is already uilt into the price of the stock. That is only true insofar as there are active traders acting on that information. The parent is merely explaining why those traders will exist, and why you only need a small part of the market to actively trade.
Re:Vanguard Is Growing Faster Than Everybody Else Combined
by hueving on Wednesday April 19, 2017 @05:11AM
(#14146456)
Random walk depends on all participants acting rationally based on the same information released at the same time. However, index funds are not rational, they always buy in the same ratios regardless of news.