It's entering a bust now because Inpex is wrapping up. I expect unit prices will fall sharply, now that there's a glut.
I was there a few weeks ago for the first time in several years and was basically amazed by how many new apartment buildings had been stamped out.
We visit the local markets frequently, and almost all the stall holders (some who have been at the markets for 2 or more decades) are struggling. All the local hotels and services apartments are occupied by fly in fly out workers, taking rooms that tourists normally buy in the dry season, and they don't visit markets or spend coin locally. Inpex was touted as a boon for the Northern Territory, but it has been a total bust for us. I really love Darwin, but I fear it will be a ghost town in a few years.
Did you walk down the mall in the CBD when you were here? Notice how many empty shops and 'For Lease' signs were up all over the place?
We used to have a solid public service contingent in this town, which sort of kept things going through the lean times, but even that is under threat. Our newly elected Territory government is looking to axe 100+ jobs over this year via natural attrition. We've already sold off most of our high value assets (the port and our TIO insurance company etc.), and the Federal government have just announced they are slashing $2billion from our GST revenue share over the next few years. There is not much left in the kitty.
Some out of the ordinary life circumstances arose, and I ended up moving to Launceston in Tasmania. I was able to buy a house in an area I wanted to live in here for $215,000. I can't fathom taking on twice that on, even on dual incomes, that sort of loan would make me feel ill.
My job is in metal fabrication, the past 12 months have been much slower than the previous 10 years, things have slowed down a great deal.
(Yes, it's completely insane, and even more insane is that nobody else seems to find it insane...)
But I guess that's the case everywhere in Australia. The places where a young person wants to live (young / without children) is not somewhere which they can afford.
$215,000 wouldn't even buy you a 1 bedroom squat here. I could probably sell my place and buy a BIG place in Launceston, but like I said, if it ever came that we had to move back here to care for elders, it won't be possible at all.
Sure in some niche jobs (mining sector etc.) there are positions paying massive money ($100K+) to young kids just out of school or an apprenticeship, but overall, in the government sector and small business, the disparity is widening at an alarming rate.
I honestly have no idea how young couples starting out today even are able to afford a small two bedroom unit without BOTH of them being in high paying jobs. I think we will surely see population growth slowing as there is pretty much no way young couples can have a baby and have one parent off work for up to a year to care for the baby, AND own/rent a house/apartment.
Our city is seeing a massive exodus of people, heading south for cheaper pastures - so much so that they (our state government) are holding crisis community meetings to try and ascertain how they can get people to stay. We are talking people who have been here for generations too, not just your average 'fly in fly out' workers.