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Re:Japanese company develops a solar cell with record-breaki... by philipkglass on Thursday March 23, 2017 @02:21PM (#13942541)
This paper is closer to industrialization than most and I expect production on scale in less than 10 years. It uses process steps that are already operating on an industrial scale. It's achieved on an industrial area wafer (compare with many academic records where cells are tiny, less than 10 cm^2). It's achieved on an industrial thickness wafer (some records use thinner wafers that are closer to the theoretical optimum, but those thinner wafers are too fragile to process industrially with current technology). It's just combining features of two cell concepts that are already manufactured on an industrial scale (interdigitated back contact cells and heterojunction cells). The core patents on heterojunction silicon cells expired just a few years ago so I expect more vanilla heterojunction and heterojunction-plus-other manufacturing going forward.
Re:Japanese company develops a solar cell with record-breaki... by jacquesm on Thursday March 23, 2017 @02:49PM (#13942878)
Well, I certainly hope you are right and I'm wrong. Still, the devil will be in the details and even with expired patents multi-junction cells are simply more expensive to produce. Keep in mind they only have to be ~24% more expensive to make to wipe out any efficiency gains and that's not a whole lot of margin. If this succeeds you might see a fraction of that passed on to the consumer and the cost of the bare panels long ago ceased to be the dominant factor in a regular (domestic) installation.

For large areas it might work out to be beneficiary earlier.

Re:Japanese company develops a solar cell with record-breaki... by philipkglass on Thursday March 23, 2017 @03:12PM (#13943139)
Heterojunction cells are an approach to reducing recombination losses near contacts in single junction silicon cells. Sanyo (now Panasonic) developed them in the 1990s and has shipped gigawatts of them. It's the same Panasonic cell technology that SolarCity (now Tesla) is expected to use in their New York factory. The vanilla heterojunction cell design is actually one of the simplest high-efficiency cells in terms of process flow. The main drawbacks are patents (until recently) and the limited heat tolerance of a-Si layers; standard screen printed silver metallization, fired at high temperatures, does not work for these cells.

https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Stefaan_De_Wolf/publica...

Re:Japanese company develops a solar cell with record-breaki... by jacquesm on Thursday March 23, 2017 @07:42PM (#13945370)
I spent some time reading that, thank you very much for the pointers. Looks like you are right and this is in fact something that might just happen. Here's to hoping that it does.