Doubtful - Amazon is a huge customer, for sure, but FedEx and co regularly request that Amazon rely _less_ on their services during busy times of year. I'd bet Amazon has ended up at a point where they have been able to negotiate their rates with the other carriers so low based on their volume, that any additional volume isn't worth the cost of handling.

I worked for FedEx Ground HQ and that is basically how it works. Often UPS and FedEx trade high volume customers back and forth because they basically make no profit on them but it keeps the network full of packages. I think UPS, FedEx, and USPS handle my Amazon deliveries.

In my opinion it would be more likely for amazon to follow the SmartPost business, if they don't already do this. They would move packages between their hubs and rely on a 3rd party to do the delivery to the house. In the Smartpost network, FedEx would move the package to the closest hub and then hand it off to the USPS for home delivery.

Also, FedEx is tiny compared to UPS. I'd guess about 1/3 the size.

I think Amazon is already doing that smartpost approach. I've had a package shipped to a local amazon warehouse then sent off to usps for next day delivery. Now with Prime Now they just utilize those drivers.

Prime member here, for many years, and I can't recall the last time I got something from Amazon via FedEx. For me, USPS and UPS are how my items end up getting shipped to me, with USPS being the major method.

Granted, I think I'm near-ish (Madison WI) an Amazon warehouse of a sort, so YMV.

Similar story, in Chicago near a few Amazon warehouses. The stuff I get is pretty evenly split between UPS, USPS & Amazon Logistics. I don't think I've ever had a FedEx prime delivery that I can remember. One thing to keep in mind though is that Rockford, IL is equidistant from Madison & Chicago and a UPS Air hub.

Northern California here and an Amazon item ordered yesterday (Prime) shipped today via Fedex from the Amazon warehouse in Plainfield, IN. It looks like they are doing the usual thing where Fedex delivers it to my local post office, and USPS takes care of the last mile delivery. Amusingly Fedex opened a new depot in my town a few months ago.

Had a few fedex packages from amazon in the Portland, OR area. It's rare, but seems to mostly be saturday scheduled deliveries.

Fedex does shipping. Only shipping. Not retail. Why would retail customers ever switch to using Amazon for logistics, and pay their competitor? Amazon does enough business to have their own skeleton logistics network, but it'll never have the full network Fedex or UPS has; it simply doesn't have the retail margins to pay for it.

Fedex and UPS will do just fine. Amazon is going to have to up its game eventually; investors will tire at some point that Amazon retail doesn't make anything, and is propped up by AWS.

Amazon is the only consumer of express shipping and logistics services in North America? No wonder Fred Smith had such a hard time getting people to buy into his early business plans!