The cycle repeats because there is no disincentive to stop it. How many people went to jail after the 2008 crisis? I think you could count them on one hand and still not use all you fingers. Nobody will go to jail for Wells Fargo fraud either.
True. Also remember many people who tried to bowl a whistle on the fraud can't now get employed in the banking because Wells Fargo blacklisted them...
The market takes its little cut of every transaction, but takes zero percent of the risk. That's all passed on to the individual participants.
Car break down? Not Uber's fault. Get hit by a drunk driver? Lyft don't care. Have an allergic reaction to your latex gloves? Doesn't have anything to do with TaskRabbit as far as they're concerned.
Taking this down to a more concrete level, if every transaction and popular properties in a market were recorded and undoxx-ably published blockchain-style, then market actors who try to externalize costs will find those properties they are externalizing upon others added to the system, and their activity shunned more quickly. Much rent-seeking and externalizing behavior today in businesses (especially gig economy-pitch-based businesses) relies upon a great deal of extreme asymmetric information postures between the parties, possible because of the much more complex information ecosystem we operate in as economic actors today.
Auditors were supposed to make sure books were GAAP-compliant. That was their entire job. Even they can't/won't keep up (RIP Arthur Anderson). And that whole "you have to file an 8-K with teh SECevery 3 months with the SEC" is limited to publicly traded financial institutions within the United States[2].
To make an analogy, the law can barely keep up with tech (see: amorphous definitions of 'data collection', 'meta-data', is your cryptographic keyphrase protected as a fifth amendment right, is PGP a "munition"?[3]). Financial markets are innovating at just as quickly a rate as we are.
So, in a modern day, how do we prevent 'cooking the books'? I assert that the problem is lack of transparency. Here's an idea that probably has many major issues as I haven't ruminated on it at all, but let me give it a shot: require all transaction data[4] to be independently audited by any stakeholder at any time. As a stakeholder who is keeping my retirement money with this institution I'm highly motivated to ensure that whoever is managing my money is doing so in what I deem to be a proper fashion. Access to their books (obviously with the account information/PII scrubbed), maybe after a business week of buffer time (to allow for some padding for any tactical content that may be in the current positions) should be perhaps be made available.
My second assertion is this will not only keeps the institution obligated to be 'honest' with their reporting as obligated to their stakeholders, but has an auxiliary benefit of incentivizing their competitors to act as very motivated auditors as they scrutinize their competitors books to uncover any malfeasance.
Since regulatory bodies can't keep up, _ensure that all actors within the market actively keep each other honest_. Sure, they can collude but collusion is far easier to detect and prosecute than internal book manipulation.
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[1] Subsidizes to under-produce (big agri. and the like) notwithstanding
[2] There's nothing preventing a pension fund to go take all of GM's money and put it into a private hedge fund, throwing tons of money at a PE firm, becoming a large stake holder in a real estate investment group, or throw their money into any sort of 'unconventional financial entity'. None of these have public reporting obligations, and their federal obligations are limited to tax entities ,co-operating with FINRA, and (if they are using instruments which fall under the regulatory domain of the SEC, then also) the SEC.
[3] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Export_of_cryptography_from_th...
[4] Both internal and external-- you can do a lot with cost center accounting between arms of an MNC to misrepresent things
Simple, you make the fines bigger.
Until the fines become an existential threat to the company, the fines are too small.
Once the fines actually start impacting the returns, everybody inside the company will start paying more attention.
For something that did stabilize economies, see eg the Canadian free banking experience in the 19th century (https://www.alt-m.org/2015/08/08/thats-right-famously-sound-...), or the Scottish or Australian free banking eras.
What made the depression Great were eg FDR's high wage policies, and the American Feds tight money.
Isn't that a little extreme? $500MM sounds like a butt ton of money to you and I, but Deutsche Bank has over $800B aum. To successfully audit $800B in assets a year he'd need to look at almost $2.2B of deals a day, assuming there's 0 fluctuation in earnings per day. Then he'd have to no time for figuring out what units are the most profitable and growing those business. He'd spend 100% of his time assessing risk, kind of like that department he hires to handle risk assessments. Even if he spent an hour a day doing random spot checks of deals, their are so many sour ones to clean ones that it'd almost be a waste of time.
"Deutsche has paid more than $9 billion in further fines and settlements related to claims of tax evasion; violating sanctions against Iran, Libya, Syria, Myanmar, and Sudan; rigging the $300 trillion Libor market'
None of these are a byproduct of programatic trading.
Why is this hard for management to police their own departments? Other industries manage distributed teams just fine. I agree with your other points in that passage.
The real issues is that there exists a culture a criminality with little little fear of consequences. jail. The only way that's going to change is to start holding individuals accountable.
>"I mean, in this case even the risk team singed off on it. What more could a CEO do?"
Verify? These CEOs have insane compensation packages. They make more in a year than most people will in a lifetime. When questions about their insane pay packages arise, the party line always seems to be that they are worth it because they are "that good."
If they are that good then more should be expected of them. They should be conducting independent audits - "trust by verify" or do some innovating in the area of compliance. Their M.O. is always to blame someone else, the buck never stops with them.