What Western nation do you live in?
Because in the Western nation I live in, both job loss and education can be catastrophic for many people.
There's quite a few people that you don't know then. The median personal income in the US is $30,240 for all workers over age 15 with income.
That means half of all working people in the US have less than $30k a year in income. What percentage of your "know many people" sample make less than that?
There is very few "no-strings attached free government money" for people living below poverty.
There's no doubt that we live in a better world than the past, but I don't think it's helpful to spread this idea that anyone can succeed if they just try hard enough. That's the goal, not the reality, and it will never be the case that everyone has an equal chance to succeed.
Folks have unequal chances for sure. But a significant fraction of the differences are, what they're willing to do.
> Willing to move for the job?
Sure, how? What if I have no money and no credit? You're asking me to come up with a down payment on an apartment, transportation to another city, some kind of rental van or moving service, and a landlord who will take someone like me.
> Willing to work in a related field until you can get into your first choice?
Related field? I can't get anything above a minimum wage job. My "first choice" would be literally any job with predictable pay and hours.
> Willing to switch jobs 3 times in the first 5 years?
I'm working three jobs right now so my family can eat.
Again, this is not a contrived example. Millions of people live like this.
I'll readily admit that there is a certain reprehensibility to those who insist that the poor are just lazy. Most poor people aren't lazy, they're just depressed, misinformed, and without hope. They are fundamentally disadvantaged.
However, that's not what is being said here. No one is contradicting that. What I'm saying is that despite their disadvantage, there are ways to escape. It's never going to be easy for them. They are never going to go from poverty to a six figure developer job, but no one in history has ever jumped directly from the bottom to the top without an extraordinary event or miracle.
John Adams said - "I am a soldier so my son can be a shop-keeper and so his son can be an artist."
The American dream is not overnight wealth. It's not wealth in even a single generation. It's the chance for more. Someone who is very poor can make the most important leap of all fairly easily: unskilled to skilled labor. They can go from the guy with nothing to offer to the guy who can run electrical wiring or the guy who can fix pipes and they can do this very cheaply in a very short amount of time. From there, they can earn enough to either go to college themselves, teach themselves, or pay for their kids to get ahead.
Its good to plan things; but sometimes the friction prevents action. That's all I'm getting at.
This still only applies to people who have picked the right parents and the right industry.
I get that the historical trend is toward social mobility and equality, but "all you have to do is decide to succeed" is still an idealistic cliche, and probably always will be.
My money is on general AI and widespread sustainable fusion reactors before that happens. The crab mentality is strong, and those who can merely talk a good game will do their best to maintain the status quo.
You weather hardships with money. What's with this four-minute-man talk?
lol
Over the last few centuries, power gradually shifted to the firm, then to markets, and now finally to individuals. Used to be, you had to pick the right parents, pick the right industry, and hope the political winds don't shift against you to earn a decent, livable life.
Now, all you need is intelligence and mental fluidity to weather hardships. No longer is a job loss catastrophic. Just about anyone born in a Western nation can, if he decides to, gain an education and make his way up the social ladder.
This is completely unprecedented from a historical perspective. The ability of the not-well-off to earn and enjoy the benefits of education was far and away only the province of the extremely gifted, the John Rockefellers of the world. It's easier than ever for someone born dirt-poor to become a CEO or politician.
Soon the world will turn completely on merit. It'll be fascinating to watch the way our societies go next. Certainly affluence will continue to push out into the developing world. But how will modern Western societies evolve? Will we conquer aging and produce scions of unimaginable ability? Death is the ultimate limiter of the power of individuals.