382 / 52 * $1.90 = $14
Data from (I used Greenville, SC): https://www.gasbuddy.com/Charts
EDIT: From Tesla's blog post "What’s important is that in every region, Supercharging will remain simple, seamless and always significantly cheaper than gasoline."
Looks like Tesla will be pricing the electricity differently in different states as well. I wonder if the changes in their electricity prices based on the region will be enough to offset currently low gas prices.
The Model 3 will most likely have significantly better range per kwh than the Model S, reducing the cost even more.
They don't have that much control. The US would increase fracking / shale ops and bring the cost of oil back down. We have incredibly massive oil reserves here in the US that any sort of Saudi nonsense will have limited effect.
Saudis have gotten themselves into a world of pain over the past few years attempting to play their stupid games with oil prices, so much so that they are about to take Saudi Aramco public to get a desperately-needed cash infusion. Our fracking/shale ops are also hurting though in this race to the bottom.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2016/07/31/texas-shale-o...
383 / 52 * $2.61 = $19.22
Or a Honda Civic:
383 / 34 * $2.61 = $29.40
(Assuming their definition is one way not roundtrip.)