If we take that attitude, we will be pretty miserable, at least for most of us. We all know people who have hit it big for various reasons. They moved to SV, NYC, they learned poker, they bought a lottery ticket, they took stock options in a non name startup, they applied to an unknown startup, they decided to learn ML when it wasn't hip, They played sports when I didn't and went pro, they wanted to sing and now I hear them on the radio, whatever the reason, they did something and it worked out for them. At the end of the day, it's taking chances. Don't take chances blindly.