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Re:Facebook, Zynga, and buyer-supplier hold up by wheels on Sunday May 09, 2010 @01:01PM (#1332348)
That's the wrong question. The question is not, "Will you be able to make money on the iPad?", it's "Will anyone ever make a couple hundred million per year (like Zynga has on Facebook) on the iPad?" In that sense, Facebook is the clear winner.
Re:Facebook, Zynga, and buyer-supplier hold up by mattmaroon on Sunday May 09, 2010 @03:12PM (#1332674)
It's not just the black swans either, it's the averages. You're a 1 in 100,000 success on the iPhone if you make a million bucks total. You're not even a 1 in 100,000 success on Facebook if you make that much per month.
Re:Facebook, Zynga, and buyer-supplier hold up by hugh3 on Sunday May 09, 2010 @01:14PM (#1332388)
Has Zynga really made a couple of hundred million a year? Have they even been going for a year?

I don't see any reason why nobody could make a couple of hundred million a year on iPod/iPad/iPhone apps, especially as the huge existing installed base of iPods (over 260 million sold) will probably eventually churn into app-capable devices like the current iPod Touch.

Re:Facebook, Zynga, and buyer-supplier hold up by wheels on Sunday May 09, 2010 @01:26PM (#1332416)
Founded 3 years ago:

http://www.crunchbase.com/company/zynga

Estimated to have made ~$270 million last year:

http://techcrunch.com/2010/05/03/zynga-revenue/

Re:Facebook, Zynga, and buyer-supplier hold up by mattmaroon on Sunday May 09, 2010 @03:10PM (#1332670)
It's kind of humorous to me that someone who doesn't even know about Zynga can express an opinion on this topic.