Re:Waymo: Google's self-driving car company
by arghbleargh on Wednesday December 14, 2016 @01:18AM
(#13174227)
50,000 miles/year * 20 years = 1,000,000 miles does not seem reasonable...
Re:Waymo: Google's self-driving car company
by nojvek on Wednesday December 14, 2016 @02:56AM
(#13174518)
1 million miles is unreasonable for humans driving gas guzzlers.
Not for electric self driving cars which optimize for safety and wear and tear. They have less moving parts too.
There are plenty of trucks, buses and taxis that have done a million miles in 20 years.
Say initial cost of the electric self driving car is $50,000. It has life of 20 years. After 20 years, value will go to 0.
Per year: $2500
Service per year: $2500 (HN mechanics, is this reasonable?)
Miles travelled/ year: 50,000 (5x human utilization)
Miles/Kwh: 3 (based on tesla efficiency)
Avg electricity cost in US: 12c / Kwh
Cost to drive 50,000 miles: $2000
Total / year: $7000
Cost per mile: 14c / mile
Average trip length: 7 miles
Cost per trip: 98c (very close to $1)
I think this is definitely possible.