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A comment on Barely Half of 30-Year-Olds in the U.S. Earn More Than Their Parents Did at 30. Parent comment

Re:Barely Half of 30-Year-Olds in the U.S. Earn More Than Th... by tluyben2 on Thursday December 08, 2016 @06:38PM (#13135381)
There will be more demand for a short while but a lot of that will also be automated away. Think about a period of 100 years aka your children and grandchildren. Not the coming 3 years as we programmers tend to do. Even if we will have another AI winter after this spring and summer; 100 years gives enough time for another spring and summer. Not only can not everyone do everything; many people cannot learn programming and QA. I would say by far most will not be able to. That is a difference with the industrial revolution; something like a horse carriage to bus driver transition is vastly different than a truck driver to a dev.

Sure for jobs like lawyer or doctor to programmer you can imagine but there are not many compared to physical labour anyway.

For both reasons, I do not see your opinion happening in the 100 year and after span. Maybe over the coming 10 but not 100. Wether I like it or not, my brain does not get over the choice of letting people perish, basic income or boycotting the future. Someone like Trump can bring jobs by just banning robots ; for instance by changing regulations so they cannot drive vehicles on public roads. But that would pretty quickly (again look at 100 year spans) lead to the US being no longer competitive on the world market for those particular (related) services.

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Re:Barely Half of 30-Year-Olds in the U.S. Earn More Than Th... by ainiriand on Friday December 09, 2016 @06:49AM (#13138205)
Well, it is really hard to think about what is going to happen regading jobs in 100 years. I dont think that human mind is going to be removed from the equation. And if human intervention is, in fact, removed from most of the jobs, then what alternatives to get the basic needs are they going to have? Also, we have to be extremely careful because, even if we are not going to be there, we are paving their destinies now.
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Re:Barely Half of 30-Year-Olds in the U.S. Earn More Than Th... by tluyben2 on Friday December 09, 2016 @07:31PM (#13143156)
I agree we will need the human mind but for less and less jobs. And indeed my point is that we are paving that destiny now and therefor we need to work towards some kind of solution now.
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