Re:The Danger of Being Default Alive
by Animats on Thursday November 17, 2016 @04:32PM
(#12981864)
This is a VC perspective. They need 10x wins and expect mostly failure. From a VC perspective, the worst case is the zombie - cash flow positive, so you can't kill it, not making enough money to repay investors, and can't be ignored because the VC still owns it. A portfolio of zombies can eat all of a VC's time. It's easier on the VC if the losers just die already.
[ Parent
| on HN ]
On a more egalitarian note, the VC also wants the loser companies to die 1. so that their founders can be freed up to found other, non-loser startups, that they can then invest in (a pivot is just as good as such a default); and 2. so that their talent can be freed up, and then fed to other startups in their portfolio, to give them better chances of wildly succeeding.
In a VC's eyes, a "zombie" isn't just a time-sink; it's a prison holding back good founders and employees from doing other things.
Re:The Danger of Being Default Alive
by danieltillett on Friday November 18, 2016 @03:37AM
(#12985282)
I know you are having a go at the VCs, but you do make a good point. If good founders are wasting their time on "zombie" companies then the VCs should put their money where their mouth is and back the founders before they kill the zombie. They should be saying if you kill the current company I will put x million into your next company.
"They should be saying if you kill the current company I will put x million into your next company."
If the VCs are not the sole owners of the company, that will get them a lawsuit from the other investors for breach of duty as a director. Often the VCs don't have the authority to kill the company.
Re:The Danger of Being Default Alive
by danieltillett on Friday November 18, 2016 @04:03PM
(#12990053)
I was not suggesting that they be so explicit about it, but the VCs could have a general policy that they will always back founders in their next venture if the founders create a profitable company. The founders knowing this will kill or hand over the zombies themselves.
I think that explains some weird behavior I witnessed at several places years ago.
We were doing fine, but not awesome, and then management started taking big risks and we flamed out. Very frustrating to spend time and effort on something you know is killing the company.
Re:The Danger of Being Default Alive
by sherjilozair on Thursday November 17, 2016 @07:19PM
(#12983177)
Why doesn't this get talked about more often? That there exists a fundamental VC v/s founder conflict. The VC wants at least one of his startup to go mega, while the founder wants his startup go big enough that his opportunity cost is smaller. There are many decisions that the founder will want to go one way, while the VC the other way.
Because the incentives are not aligned with presenting complex realities to readers of the media.
Practice intellectual self defense: Read books, and lots of them, read the comment sections but skip the articles, and engage in communities online and on the ground to gather your own information about the world.
Well I doubt that zombies would readily suck up that much time, but VCs would rather all their portfolio companies take bigger risks if it increased the chances of a runaway success. Much better for a VC if twice as many of their companies fail, but they get just one more unicorn. All the returns come from unicorn companies, it follows a power law distribution.
Re:The Danger of Being Default Alive
by codinghorror on Thursday November 17, 2016 @05:19PM
(#12982264)
Wait how do zombies eat time, exactly? If they have cash flow and are viable businesses, what do they need from the VCs that would take up their time?
board meetings, requests for intros to people/customers, informal checkins, even just dealing with the company within the VC firm
Re:The Danger of Being Default Alive
by andrewfromx on Thursday November 17, 2016 @05:23PM
(#12982292)
are u kidding? favor after favor the CEO asks from the network of each VC partner. Can you do this, can you intro me to that guy, and they can't say, "Well... but you're a zombie"
Re:The Danger of Being Default Alive
by PhasmaFelis on Thursday November 17, 2016 @05:33PM
(#12982376)
Why can't they?
I mean, yes, obviously, it's rude and unpleasant to say "I don't have time for you because you're not making enough money," but it's a lot more unpleasant to say "I'm firing you and all your employees even though you're making a profit because you keep asking for favors and it's annoying."
Re:The Danger of Being Default Alive
by andrewfromx on Thursday November 17, 2016 @07:17PM
(#12983160)
Because until they are ready to cut their losses and actually burn this bridge with the entrepreneur, they want to be in a good position if the entrepreneur turns things around and all of a sudden the company is a hit. You don't want to finally get rid of a zombie only to find that if u waited 6 months that zombie would have been a hit.
How do you burn your bridge? You still get rich don't you?
Re:The Danger of Being Default Alive
by andrewfromx on Friday November 18, 2016 @04:30PM
(#12990242)
1) If you cut ties with entrepreneur A cuz you think his company is zombie, his business then folds and he goes on to next thing and doesn't invite you to invest in his new company.
2) If you cut ties with entrepreneur A cuz you think his company is zombie, he doesn't tell you about entrepreneur B who is about to start the next big thing
3) i.e. it's like high school. You want to always be in the right crowd invited to the right parties. And if you stop associating with a certain group of people, you better be sure those are not the future kings.
A portfolio of zombies might also be called a Private Equity fund.
The difference is that PE funds buy companies at lower multiples due to lower growth expectations. They also buy bigger companies where there is more room for driving efficiencies and where an exit is easier to achieve.
Re:The Danger of Being Default Alive
by enraged_camel on Thursday November 17, 2016 @06:56PM
(#12983028)
Are there any known cases of a zombie becoming a unicorn after a while?
Apple, although not a startup, was barely alive in 1997 (ready to default) and became the most valuable company in the world 12+ years later -- worth more in actual profits (never mind stock) than 100 "unicorns" combined...
One might say that Apple didn't so much go from failure to success, as that Apple did fail—rotted from the head—and that, upon its failure, NeXT acquired the "Apple" marque (along with all the employees, factories, and purchase agreements) and rebranded itself using that marque.
Re:The Danger of Being Default Alive
by jhartmann on Thursday November 17, 2016 @07:04PM
(#12983077)
Dunno about unicorn, but Brad Feld was an very early Angel investor in Harmonix music systems and they were working for many years before the had breakout success.
Re:The Danger of Being Default Alive
by andrewfromx on Thursday November 17, 2016 @05:20PM
(#12982270)
well said, that's exactly the issue.