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Re:Obama Administration Gives Up on Pacific Trade Deal by TorKlingberg on Friday November 11, 2016 @05:00PM (#12934876)
It has also greatly benefited America during the whole post-war period. It is not a coincidence that the world's consumers are spending much of their money on products from American companies. Whether the American lower class gets a share of the profits is an other question of course.

This goes for tech too. American companies like Uber, Netflix, Facebook, Google, Microsoft and Apple have been able dominate most of the world market. In a protectionist world they will be locked out, just like they are in China today.

Re:Obama Administration Gives Up on Pacific Trade Deal by mcv on Friday November 11, 2016 @05:54PM (#12935253)
Yeah, whatever you may think of the American hegemony since WW2, that's what made America the #1 world power. Drop that, and the US will just be one of many.

And on the one hand, I think that might be good; I'm not a fan of hegemony and imperialism. But for all its faults, the US is at least a democracy, unlike Russia and China. As a European, I strongly prefer American hegemony over Russian hegemony. But maybe it's time for the EU to finally stand on its own feet and take up the leadership of the free world. Hopefully more benevolently than the US, although recent events don't look very hopeful there either.

Re:Obama Administration Gives Up on Pacific Trade Deal by pmontra on Friday November 11, 2016 @06:30PM (#12935441)
I wish we would, but we (Europe) are fragmented and each country is an easy target for the wills of the larger powers. It's easy to play each EU country against the other, not necessarily by bribes but by exploiting all the conflicting interests and the lack of a central authority. Try to do that with US states without the blessing of Washington.

And in time of danger every country becomes more egoistical, as the many recent crisis demonstrated (bonds, migrants, etc). So China and Russia will benefit of a US downsizing and Europe will get the worst of it.

The only way out would be ejecting every country not willing to really merge into a strong political union, make the United States of Europe, get back some of the other countries when they'll be willing to give away their sovereignty. Problem is: there are zero countries willing to give away their sovereignty now. National political leaders are not going to risk their authority and privileges and run for a European government which only a few of them will get into.

Re:Obama Administration Gives Up on Pacific Trade Deal by mschuster91 on Friday November 11, 2016 @06:29PM (#12935437)
> But maybe it's time for the EU to finally stand on its own feet and take up the leadership of the free world

As a German, I don't see that happening. The EU is beginning to collapse outright (Brexit, the way Europe still treats Greece and the way Europe leaves Germany stranded with the refugees, esp. Eastern Europe) and even if the EU manages to stay together as an union, the trend to nationalism and right-wing populism is worrying:

- in France, le Pen/Front National has a non-small chance of winning the elections in 2017

- Hungary with Orban basically has a fascist in power

- the situation in Poland doesn't look much better (Kaczynski nationalist government, 100k right-wing demonstrants marched in Warsow today, https://www.zdf.de/nachrichten/heute-in-europa/videos/warsch...)

- Italy is under threat from the M5S party led by Beppe Grillo, they want to exit at least the Euro currency, and the general situation is unstable

- in Greece left-wing Tsipras is in a coalition with right-wing ANEL

- Germany has, mainly fueled by the refugee situation, seen a rise of both a nationalist party (AfD) in parliaments with people predicting 10-20% at the Bundestag elections as well as massive violence against refugees and left-wing people.

- Turkey isn't part of the EU, but I think that the situation in Turkey could explode into civil war sooner than later. Or into a Hitler-level dictatorship.

And should it come to war... well I don't believe that the EU stands a flying chance against the Russians. German tank troops practice with broomsticks instead of blank cartridges (I'm serious, https://www.welt.de/politik/deutschland/article137549045/Bun...), the new NH90 marine helicopter isn't licensed to fly over sea, and the A400M transporter jet isn't remotely useful right now.

Europe without US protection is a nightmare, and I'm afraid that at least Russia will exploit this. Especially as no country in the EU except maybe France actually has the capability or will to fight.

[dead]
Re:Obama Administration Gives Up on Pacific Trade Deal by sprafa on Saturday November 12, 2016 @11:17AM (#12938552)
France has intervened multiple times in Africa, so their armed forces are at least operationally ready to do something like Russia's invasion of Georgia.

Outside of France I fear it's mostly paper tigers, even the UK. France is clearly one of the most militaristic nations in Europe and the only one who has demonstrated willingness to use force (see UK's parliament report on the Lybian intervention).

I still think Russia is a lot stronger than people think.

Re:Obama Administration Gives Up on Pacific Trade Deal by rasz_pl on Monday November 14, 2016 @12:04AM (#12947678)
That was former French colonies, right?

You might think 1939 is not relevant anymore, how about 1994 obligations? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Budapest_Memorandum_on_Securit...

In theory France was supposed to intervene in Ukraine in case of Russian aggression, in theory.

There will be ZERO reaction when (not if) Russia invades Estonia. Remember Russian invasion of Georgia in 2008? Guess who was the ONLY one actually doing more than public statements from the comfort of their own office(and note that some like Merkel didnt even criticize Russian aggression)? Polish president flew over warzone (Russian controlled air with active military aircraft around) to join Georgian parliament in protest. Guess where is Polish president Kaczynski now - died mysteriously in plane accident over Russian airspace two years later.

Re:Obama Administration Gives Up on Pacific Trade Deal by mschuster91 on Saturday November 12, 2016 @11:39AM (#12938658)
> you wanted them, you got them

We did not "want them", in contrast to rest of Europe we Germans just upheld our moral obligations. About the only thing Merkel did right during her term. And I'm proud that the general population is doing their best to help those seeking a space safe from war.

What I'm ashamed of are the actions of the minority who attack refugess and their homes though.

> We celebrate independence from being occupied by YOUR country among other parties.

That's no excuse to let fascists march.

Re:Obama Administration Gives Up on Pacific Trade Deal by rasz_pl on Sunday November 13, 2016 @11:45PM (#12947623)
>That's no excuse to let fascists march.

WTF. Dude, you are from the country that gave us Hitler and Nazi party, and you call national holiday celebration a fascists march?

Re:Obama Administration Gives Up on Pacific Trade Deal by sprafa on Friday November 11, 2016 @06:27PM (#12935428)
Europe is too divided, Russia will most likely rule over Europe. Look out for a Russia backed victory of Le Pen in France and AfD in Germany. If that happens the reorganisation will be total.
Re:Obama Administration Gives Up on Pacific Trade Deal by mcv on Friday November 11, 2016 @06:52PM (#12935580)
While I agree that the EU is divided, I doubt Russia will rule over Europe. Russia is a lot weaker than it was during the Cold War, and Europe is a lot stronger. A lot.

That said, Putin plays a subtle game, and his ties to various European extremist groups is certainly cause for worry. He will continue to destabilize Europe, but a lot more than that is needed for Russia to rule over Europe. Though if the EU is sufficiently divided, the Baltics are definitely within reach.

Re:Obama Administration Gives Up on Pacific Trade Deal by brianwawok on Friday November 11, 2016 @06:26PM (#12935413)
With brexit doesn't seem that likely either
Re:Obama Administration Gives Up on Pacific Trade Deal by mcv on Friday November 11, 2016 @06:53PM (#12935586)
Brexit could actually work out well for a more united EU. The UK has always been one of the biggest opponents of further European integration. Without the UK, it might actually happen.
Re:Obama Administration Gives Up on Pacific Trade Deal by brianwawok on Saturday November 12, 2016 @09:00AM (#12937815)
That is a theory I had not heard.

And the economy will not be missed, even when trying to fix the ships that are Greece and Italy and Spain?

At some point it seems like Germany can't have the only economy propping up the rest of the EU

Re:Obama Administration Gives Up on Pacific Trade Deal by mcv on Monday November 14, 2016 @07:54AM (#12949467)
Closer economic integration would definitely solve the problem of Greece and other weak economies. Every country has their weaker provinces that would have sick economies if left on their own, but they work fine because they're part of a country with an economic policy that takes care of the entire country. The US has plenty of poorer states, for example, and they get way more federal money. Every country has areas like that, and takes care of them to some degree.

But Greece has to fend for itself, and has lost the means to fend for itself, because they're not in control of their monetary police. They're unable to devalue their coin as they should. But if they were to become part of a more integrated EU economic policy, the EU would eat up their debt without blinking, and invest in Greece to fix the problem, which is currently apparently against the rules.