As I understand it, there have been a few nation-scale Internet outages that have been a result of IPv4 address tables reaching their resource ceiling (not relating to NAT) - another example of how IPv4 is no longer fit for purpose regarding hardware resources.

Those were caused because Cisco by default (optimistically) partitioned a big chunk of the routing table memory for v6 routes. The fix was to reduce the memory usage for v6 and give that memory back for v4 routes. So really it was allocating so much space for v6 before there was any need that caused those outages.

If 32 bit address tables are reaching capacity, increasing the size of the address space is unlikely to resolve the problem.

Doesn't ipv6 include efficiencies for this, like hierarchical prefixes?

In practical reality, doesn't that just mitigate the strain caused by an explosion in the size of the address tables?

A sometimes large but solvable part of the problem in ipv4 routing table sizes is numerically adjacent routes that could be aggregated into fewer announcements but aren't; ipv6 doesn't help with that. Another part of the problem is that many networks have lots of allocations that aren't adjacent, so they can't aggregate them; ipv6 should help with that as there's room for big allocations.

I guess it depends on how big the efficiency gain is, but afaik it's pretty big.

So you don't want stateful inspection on your private LAN router? Its ok for every hacker to portscan the 100's of IoT devices in your house? You're a very trusting fellow.

How many IoT devices need to allow incoming connections at all? And how many connections do they need to make?

IoT devices, if I had any use for them, would go on my private LAN. My private-public router can do complex stateful tracking, because it only has to handle a few connections at a time. Meanwhile my grown-up internet devices go on the public side and get actual internet access, meaning that e.g. two people inside my house can play an online game with a person outside my house, and aren't slowed down by a complex connection-tracking router. Also means my guests don't get access to my IoT devices.

> How many IoT devices need to allow incoming connections at all? And how many connections do they need to make?

If they need outgoing connections, they likely also need incoming when we are speaking about stateless filtering. Without incoming connections only UDP would be allowed and it would be usually impossible to determine if the packet should be send again (it would only be possible if there was out of band method to detect it).

Ok, I will admit that it's possible to check the TCP headers and just drop incoming SYN packets without ACK, but then you need to start trusting that the IoT device can handle invalid TCP packets.

> Ok, I will admit that it's possible to check the TCP headers and just drop incoming SYN packets without ACK, but then you need to start trusting that the IoT device can handle invalid TCP packets.

I have more faith in that than I have faith in a router that does complex state-tracking logic to not contain RCE vulnerabilities itself.

Are you recommending NAT as some sort security-by-accident measure?