News for hackers. Stuff that matters.

A comment on State and National Poll Aggregation.

Re:State and National Poll Aggregation by wodenokoto on Thursday November 03, 2016 @07:20AM (#12862990)
I'm stuck on the first graph. What does it mean? Its X-axis is labelled "Electoral votes for clinton", yet its bars represents either "Clinton" or "Trump" and there is no explanation of the y axis.
[ Parent | on HN ]
Re:State and National Poll Aggregation by froogle on Thursday November 03, 2016 @08:03AM (#12863257)
270 electoral college votes are required to win the election, which is why the graphs changes color. If no candidate wins at least 270, Congress chooses, I believe. 538 is currently giving the chances of no candidate hitting 270 at 1.4%[1].

The y-axis is the probability of that particular outcome (or range of outcomes?) occurring.

[1] http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?...

[ Parent | on HN ]