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A comment on Is This Economist Too Far Ahead of His Time?. Parent comment

Re:Is This Economist Too Far Ahead of His Time? by Houshalter on Friday October 21, 2016 @09:01PM (#12766327)
He didn't claim it had "real world basis" or "run it through Bayes' theorem". He just said he expects about a 30% chance he is right.
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