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A comment on Background on Attempts to Frame Assange as a Pedophile and Russian Spy. Parent comment

Re:Background on Attempts to Frame Assange as a Pedophile an... by AnimalMuppet on Tuesday October 18, 2016 @06:26PM (#12739288)
> ... as it will be impossible for her to win the election in 4 years as an incumbent.

It should be impossible for her to win re-election in four years. But it also should have been impossible for her to win this year. All the Republicans had to do was run somebody moderately competent. But...

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Re:Background on Attempts to Frame Assange as a Pedophile an... by cmdrfred on Tuesday October 18, 2016 @06:34PM (#12739331)
Looking at the numbers, all they have to do is not pick Donald Trump. Carson is at 44% (8% never heard of him and 12% report they have no opinion) right now with no advertising spend. Assuming he doesn't have some dark past we don't know about in 4 years, against Clinton it's not even a contest.
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Re:Background on Attempts to Frame Assange as a Pedophile an... by dragonwriter on Tuesday October 18, 2016 @06:46PM (#12739397)
Relative favorability isn't much of a guide to incumbent vs. challenger elections, though I think there is some evidence that it has some loose utility as a predictor of open-seat elections. (OTOH, the incumbent's approval -- not favorability -- seems to be a strong predictor for incumbent reelection.)
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