I make no predictions around AI, although I'm skeptical it will work well outside of specialized, rules-heavy environments. Been wrong before, happy to be wrong again.
My sense is we are less future-obsessed than people were in the 1950's, during the blow-off top of the atomic age. People seem more concerned with the environment, sustainability and so forth, Moore's law is slowly grinding to a halt and technical innovation, in general, has slowed down.
Culture churn has definitely increased since the 90's, however. I attribute this to us finding ourselves at the end of modernism and post-modernism, with nothing left to deconstruct, strip away, transgress or mock. This, coupled with the internet, is leading to a blow off top in culturally combinatorial attempts to avoid a return to tradition (unthinkable) or facing up to end-state nihilism (unbearable).
It seemed like that in 1980, as well, and then this happened:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/AI_winter
I make no predictions around AI, although I'm skeptical it will work well outside of specialized, rules-heavy environments. Been wrong before, happy to be wrong again.
My sense is we are less future-obsessed than people were in the 1950's, during the blow-off top of the atomic age. People seem more concerned with the environment, sustainability and so forth, Moore's law is slowly grinding to a halt and technical innovation, in general, has slowed down.
Culture churn has definitely increased since the 90's, however. I attribute this to us finding ourselves at the end of modernism and post-modernism, with nothing left to deconstruct, strip away, transgress or mock. This, coupled with the internet, is leading to a blow off top in culturally combinatorial attempts to avoid a return to tradition (unthinkable) or facing up to end-state nihilism (unbearable).
It's not all bad: https://www.youtube.com/user/NewRetroWave