I don't think you understand the basics of investing.
I laid out two strategies to hedge a specific, finite duration risk. Instead of an ad hominem attack, do you have any comments on either strategy?
What if trump loses and the market goes down?
What if trump wins and the market goes up, too? Things that "everyone knows" are already priced in.
Would I be market timing if instead of moving out of the market to avoid the Trump winning risk, I borrowed money to buy shares in an election market?
https://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/quotes/Pres16_quotes.html
If Trump wins, I triple the money I put into election shares but lose in my 401k. If Trump loses, the increase in my 401k will cover my loss in the election market.