Re:VotePlz – The Easiest Way to Vote
by alexbecker on Friday September 09, 2016 @01:44AM
(#12459872)
Why do you think Clinton's got this in the bag? She's leading by 3-4 percentage points in both national and most swing-state polls[1], which is less than the movement we've seen in the past month. And 15-20% of voters are undecided or third-party right now, significantly increasing the volatility of the polls. FiveThiryEight's analysis[2], which I think is quite thorough, gives Clinton a ~70% chance of winning. Far from "in the bag".
[1] Specifically, weighted (by sample size) averages of such polls. [2] http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
Re:VotePlz – The Easiest Way to Vote
by specialist on Friday September 09, 2016 @03:01PM
(#12465130)
Elections are now won by GOTV efforts. Boots on the ground, volunteers, doorbelling, phone banking, etc.
Whereas Clinton has the 2nd most sophisticated operation in history, Trump doesn't have anything that remotely resembles a campaign, much less an effective GOTV effort.
You know Clinton's got this one in the bag, right? It's a done deal. The parties are now just fighting out how bad/good the ass whooping will be.
But to your point... There are local judicial races every year which directly impact your well-being. The players on the the right KNOW that every vote matters, that every race matters, that every inch must be contested, because the system is a giant pyramid.