This was the survey done in the Netherlands a few years ago: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_sexual_orienta...
NL is a very liberal, small and tolerant society - thus is a much better sample than the US (where being gay may still not be looked upon favorably by a large part of the population).
Even if most people there support gay rights, many men can still be closeted.
Can you offer specific issues with that survey? The general "i think there are probably more closeted gay men out there' we can dispense with as that's a non-falsifiable statement.
I specifically picked Netherlands as they are as liberal a society you can have with regards to gay lifestyle as you will find on this planet, the survey was done online and had a large sample size (30k people).
TLDR: responses vary widely depending on the survey method used. IMO, the higher numbers are more believable because there are subjectively tons of skittish gay dudes.