This doesn't really describe how development is going to get faster. It just lumps the next big leap into unsupervised learning - which isn't really an understood concept as the author describes.

The "unsupervised learning as black box" argument always bothers me. It looks too much like the consciousness debate. The theory that UL is an emergent property from massively scaled NAIs is at least plausible IMO, but that wasn't really discussed.