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Re:Bayesian Analysis of Racial Bias in Police Shootings in t... by selectron on Friday July 08, 2016 @03:08PM (#12057900)
There could be, but why do you assume this is do to racial bias as opposed to the unfortunate fact that black people are more likely to commit violent crime? I assume that arrest rates should be a good proxy for police interaction, this is a logical assumption - if you disagree then you should give a reason of why your assumption is better, not just say that the assumption "could" be wrong. The unfortunate truth is that black people are more likely to commit violent crime in the US. To show racial bias you have to show that police are disproportionately targeting blacks relative to the rate of crime, if you make the false assumption that the rate of crime is equal between black people and white people then your conclusions will be wrong.

http://www.amren.com/news/2015/07/new-doj-statistics-on-race...

Even for something like traffic stops, you need to study whether or not black people are more likely to get pulled over because they are black or because they are more likely to be young and therefore more likely to speed. It isn't enough to just say that black people are disproportionately stopped, you have to show that the rate of speeding is the same to show bias.

http://www.nytimes.com/2002/03/21/nyregion/study-suggests-ra...

Re:Bayesian Analysis of Racial Bias in Police Shootings in t... by sp332 on Friday July 08, 2016 @04:11PM (#12058301)
why do you assume this is do to racial bias

Because this is America and there is a continuous history of racial bias since the country was founded. Or did you think that all went away with the 13th amendment? Or the 14th? Or maybe the 15th?

The Department of Justice has reports detailing racist enforcement in Ferguson http://www.nytimes.com/2015/03/04/us/justice-department-find... and Newark http://time.com/3020180/newark-police/ and the New York Bar Association had a report on stop-and-frisk being a racist policy in NYC http://www2.nycbar.org/pdf/report/uploads/20072495-StopFrisk... [PDF] and a St. Louis police union is calling out racism in the department http://www.nydailynews.com/news/national/king-black-union-st...

Re:Bayesian Analysis of Racial Bias in Police Shootings in t... by bduerst on Friday July 08, 2016 @04:25PM (#12058389)
There is already evidence of bias with arrests for other crimes.

Marijuana possession accounts for 46% of all drug arrests. In terms of marijuana use, 14% of blacks and 12% of whites have used marijuana in the last year, yet blacks are 373% more likely to be arrested for possession. In some areas of the U.S., like Cook, IL, the bias gets as high as 720%. [1]

If police are racially biased with arrests for one set of criminal behavior, isn't it likely there is some bias towards other types of behavior too? Like in stopping cars?

[1] https://www.aclu.org/files/assets/aclu-thewaronmarijuana-rel...

Re:Bayesian Analysis of Racial Bias in Police Shootings in t... by DavidWanjiru on Friday July 08, 2016 @03:29PM (#12058046)
Wait, what do you mean black people are more likely to be pulled over, not because they're black, but because they're more likely to be young and hence more likely to speed? Which stat are you using, young black drivers as a proportion of all black drivers? Youn black drivers as a proportion of all drivers? And assuming we can assume all young drivers, regardless of race, are more likely to speed (unless you say otherwise), are the patterns of being pulled over amongst young black drivers similar to the patterns for young white/other race drivers?
Re:Bayesian Analysis of Racial Bias in Police Shootings in t... by jomamaxx on Friday July 08, 2016 @04:10PM (#12058296)
"Wait, what do you mean black people are more likely to be pulled over, not because they're black, but because they're more likely to be young and hence more likely to speed?"

Speeding or not speeding - African Americans are significantly more likely to be involved in all crimes - according to arrest and conviction data.

I think there is probably some bias, for sure, but bias can't quite explain it all away. Neither can income or education. Even normalizing for those, there is still more violence within African American communities.

It's obviously a complex problem, god forbid I don't have the answer, but the more politically fearless research we can do the better.

A study of the likelihood of being shot while interacting with police, as opposed to a study of just the likelihood of being shot given race - is really not very helpful in this situation.

Re:Bayesian Analysis of Racial Bias in Police Shootings in t... by bduerst on Friday July 08, 2016 @04:36PM (#12058465)
> African Americans are significantly more likely to be involved in all crimes - according to arrest and conviction data.

And according to studies in criminal behavior, African Americans are not any more likely to be committing crimes than other races. They're just more likely to be arrested by police and convicted for behavior than other races. If you don't believe me, you can look into marijuana use and possession arrests between the different races.

Re:Bayesian Analysis of Racial Bias in Police Shootings in t... by michaelbuddy on Friday July 08, 2016 @08:42PM (#12059531)
You're Wrong. And murder rates tell you that. MJ posession and murder are two different things. Per capita, blacks murder more than whites. AND in other countries, blacks also commit more than their "fair share" of crime including murders. Fortunately the United States still keeps the data on this. Canada is so bad now they purposely scrubbed racial information.
Re:Bayesian Analysis of Racial Bias in Police Shootings in t... by bduerst on Saturday July 09, 2016 @01:34PM (#12062386)
You're wrong, and it's because you're cherry picking yet again. Murder is highly race-on-race, and because blacks have a smaller percentage of the population, they only appear to be higher per capita [1].

Of course, since your last comment seems to hint at confirmation bias, I'm sure you'll dismiss any real statistical analysis as "scrubbing".

[1] http://qz.com/556988/here-are-four-charts-on-race-and-murder...

Re:Bayesian Analysis of Racial Bias in Police Shootings in t... by MaysonL on Friday July 08, 2016 @03:36PM (#12058078)
Ask any well-compensated black person who drives a reasonably expensive car how often they've been pulled over. The answer won't surprise me, but it might surprise you.
Re:Bayesian Analysis of Racial Bias in Police Shootings in t... by micahbright on Friday July 08, 2016 @03:58PM (#12058219)
I'm a reasonably well compensated white person, and you might be surprised at how often I get pulled over. I don't get shot because I keep my hands on the steering wheel and I don't make any sudden movements.
Re:Bayesian Analysis of Racial Bias in Police Shootings in t... by bduerst on Friday July 08, 2016 @04:06PM (#12058262)
If we're going to go with anecdotal data here, I had an A/B test experience in St. Louis some years ago.

As a white intern, I was pulled over for a speeding ticket on the commute to work and just given a ticket. That same morning a cop pulls over a black intern for speeding on the same route, but before giving him the ticket he pulls the intern out of the car and pats him down on the side of the car.

In hindsight we should have compared the tickets to see if it was the same officer, but we were both wearing boring business casual attire.

Re:Bayesian Analysis of Racial Bias in Police Shootings in t... by CaptSpify on Friday July 08, 2016 @05:25PM (#12058773)
Another anecdotal story: I'm white, and been pulled over plenty. Never thought much of it. I lived in a mostly white nice neighborhood.

I was riding with a black friend, and when he was pulled over in the same town, it was a drastically different experience. He was pulled over for no reason, and ultimately got a ticket for "possible possession of drugs". We were told to leave the car, separated, and spent ~1 hour being drilled with questions.

A very eye-opening experience.

Re:Bayesian Analysis of Racial Bias in Police Shootings in t... by narrowrail on Friday July 08, 2016 @09:02PM (#12059602)
I love speeding ticket anecdotes!

I’m white, and live in CO. I was traveling the day before Thanksgiving and traveled through South Fork, CO (which is at the bottom of a mtn. pass). I was just following the car in front of me (at a 200m distance), doing ~40mph. Apparently, the speed limit drops to 35mph for a short stretch in the ‘business district.' I saw him in my rear-view, pulled over, and he pulled-up beside me. He rolled down his window and told me to follow him because he had someone else to ticket (I was clocked at 43mph he said). He gave us both tickets that were $100/ no points if paid quickly, it’s a total racket.

Also, I’ve been pulled over ~15 times in the last 20 years (mostly in Boulder), and I’ve never left my hands on the wheel. I immediately go to my glove box and get my registration/insurance, then grab my license. By the time the cop gets to my window, I just hand over all 3 documents at once.

One time, I was doing 90mph through Denver at 4am for a Crispy Creme run as the designated driver. On I-25, I think the speed limit there was 55-60mph. He gave me a warning.

Re:Bayesian Analysis of Racial Bias in Police Shootings in t... by bduerst on Saturday July 09, 2016 @01:37PM (#12062403)
Those are some super cool stories that you just enthusiastically listed. Thanks.

Do any of these involve anyone other than just you? You know, that offer a comparison and are relevant to the discussion?

Re:Bayesian Analysis of Racial Bias in Police Shootings in t... by narrowrail on Saturday July 09, 2016 @02:44PM (#12062695)
It seems that you are questioning the relevance of my contribution. I believe the relevance is that in mostly-white CO these 'rules' that everybody seems to parrot about dealing with cops don't apply. I don't have to leave my hands on the steering wheel. So, my (perhaps erroneous) conclusion has been that when there is little racial diversity, these problems don't seem as prevalent.

Edit: Just to be clear, I do not appreciate the antagonistic tone in your comment.

Re:Bayesian Analysis of Racial Bias in Police Shootings in t... by dragonwriter on Monday July 11, 2016 @04:42PM (#12074386)
The "rules" often cited aren't because there will be a problem in most cases if you don't follow them. Instead, its because they will be problem in a very small (much <1%) of cases if you don't follow them, and the potential cost is very high.

(I'm not -- at least, not exclusively, or in general perception -- white, have lived in parts of CA with lots of diversity, and have often failed to follow the "rules" without problem -- and don't think any of that is unexpected even with the "rules" being valid.)

Re:Bayesian Analysis of Racial Bias in Police Shootings in t... by bduerst on Monday July 11, 2016 @03:52PM (#12073877)
>my (perhaps erroneous) conclusion has been that when there is little racial diversity, these problems don't seem as prevalent.

Even then you would need to have a cop-experience involving other races, in areas of "little racial diversity" to make this conclusion -i.e. Your black friend and you (white) were treated no differently than the other times you were pulled over alone.

Your stories really only involve you, which is weird that you think they're relevant.

Re:Bayesian Analysis of Racial Bias in Police Shootings in t... by whacker on Friday July 08, 2016 @07:58PM (#12059398)
what on earth is 'possible possession of drugs'?
Re:Bayesian Analysis of Racial Bias in Police Shootings in t... by CaptSpify on Friday July 08, 2016 @09:59PM (#12059730)
Great question! It was thrown out of court in the end, but the cop really didn't have any reason to pull us over, and despite searching the whole car, he couldn't find any drugs. He had to write a ticket for something though, I guess.
Re:Bayesian Analysis of Racial Bias in Police Shootings in t... by michaelbuddy on Friday July 08, 2016 @08:44PM (#12059540)
It's a lie he's telling. That's what that is.
Re:Bayesian Analysis of Racial Bias in Police Shootings in t... by micahbright on Friday July 08, 2016 @04:33PM (#12058443)
Yeah, but when you show me a video of a man getting shot by the police and you want me to show some sympathy, he better not be obviously resisting arrest. It's the "clean hands" principle. I feel bad, but I feel bad that nobody's there teaching these guys how to deal with cops in a civil manner that keeps you alive. Instead, we're just stirring the pot.
Re:Bayesian Analysis of Racial Bias in Police Shootings in t... by bduerst on Friday July 08, 2016 @04:41PM (#12058489)
> nobody's there teaching these guys how to deal with cops in a civil manner that keeps you alive

Blaming the victim? Really?

That's what the protest in Dallas was about. That Philando Castile, an African american, was politely complying with police and was still shot and killed in his car with his fiance and her daughter.

Re:Bayesian Analysis of Racial Bias in Police Shootings in t... by micahbright on Friday July 08, 2016 @05:32PM (#12058802)
It's interesting that you get to choose which victim I'm blaming. I didn't get to see the part of the video where Philando Castile got shot for doing nothing, so I can't really say that he was doing nothing. As silly as that last sentence sounds, it is you who is calling me the victim blamer in the absence of facts, strangely, while we are talking about bias.
Re:Bayesian Analysis of Racial Bias in Police Shootings in t... by bduerst on Friday July 08, 2016 @06:48PM (#12059110)
If you re-read the comment, you'll see that I didn't choose anyone, and only referred to current issues. You know, these "facts" that you're eluding to that are absent from the conversation.

What is interesting is that you're choosing to deflect by accusing me of not knowing the "facts", even after you admitted to not knowing them (which qualifies as psychological projection). Perhaps you'd like to share these "facts" that justify your racially-based victim blaming instead?

Re:Bayesian Analysis of Racial Bias in Police Shootings in t... by micahbright on Saturday July 09, 2016 @09:19PM (#12064125)
If you re-read the comment, I wasn't talking about Castile: "he better not be obviously resisting arrest" - Alton Sterling. So, you can call me a victim blamer, erroneously. You can say it's racially based, erroneously. But you're the one with reading comprehension issues, Bud.

You might also want to note, that I'm clearly not blaming the victim. You yourself quoted it, "nobody's there teaching these guys how to deal with cops in a civil manner that keeps you alive". I'm not saying that Castile was to blame. I'm saying society needs to teach people to not do IDIOTIC things in front of police. And since this happens to people of all races, you saying it's racially based is completely baseless.

Re:Bayesian Analysis of Racial Bias in Police Shootings in t... by bduerst on Monday July 11, 2016 @04:13PM (#12074063)
Sure, sure - just link which comment you were specifically referring to Alton Sterling and I'll re-read that. Otherwise you're psychologically projecting "reading comprehension issues" again, Micah.

You seem to be confused about what blaming the victim is, or you're intentionally trying to redefine it as "no, I was blaming society". It's interesting, because you're still trying to grasp the assertion that it's the behavior of the victim at fault for the the cops killing them.

Re:Bayesian Analysis of Racial Bias in Police Shootings in t... by fleitz on Friday July 08, 2016 @04:27PM (#12058398)
Exactly, I'm in fucking Canada and I always look at the officer and get their go ahead before opening the glove box, reaching into my pocket.

I'm also the kind of person who gets into debates with cops out why I was stopped, etc. I'm by no means 'compliant' essentially refusing everything I'm not obligated to do.

Re:Bayesian Analysis of Racial Bias in Police Shootings in t... by ryanmonroe on Friday July 08, 2016 @03:37PM (#12058083)
>The unfortunate truth is that black people are more likely to commit violent crime in the US.

It doesn't make much sense to cite the proportion of black people convicted of a crime by US law enforcement as evidence refuting the claim that the US law enforcement's interaction with people changes according to their race. The proportion of black people convicted of [category] crimes could be high for many reasons, including actually higher incidence of such crimes among blacks, racial prejudices at various points along the legal path of alleged criminals, and any combination of those or other factors.

Re:Bayesian Analysis of Racial Bias in Police Shootings in t... by jomamaxx on Friday July 08, 2016 @04:14PM (#12058322)
"It doesn't make much sense to cite the proportion of black people convicted of a crime by US law enforcement as evidence refuting the claim that the US law enforcement's interaction with people changes according to their race. "

It actually does.

The rate of violent crime among African Americans is massively disproportionate. There's no way any kind of racial bias on the part of police could account for it.

A major study done in the late 2000's actually showed that while African Americans did receive more punishment for similar crimes - once 'criminal history' was taken into consideration, the difference evaporated.

Given that there is a massive difference in 'recorded convictions' (which is arguably biased because of 'racist cops') and numerous attempts to study the prevalence of racism in the system - it's pretty safe to assume that there's no way on earth that 'racist cops' are why there is why African Americans are about 700% more likely to commit violent crimes than others.

It's a sad situation, surely, but it's important to keep the facts in check.

About 50% of violent crime in America is committed by African American men, though they are only about 7% of the population (about 13% including women). This is quite radically high and it's not even explained by poverty.

The sheer size of the discrepancy between ethnic groups is unsettling.

I wish I had answers.

Re:Bayesian Analysis of Racial Bias in Police Shootings in t... by ec109685 on Saturday July 09, 2016 @01:23AM (#12060239)
Think about the impact of an arrest though. If one group is getting arrested at a higher rate and thus likely to be convicted of some type of offense, they could be more likely to later reoffend given they now have a conviction on their record and are less likely to be able to find a reasonable job. It is a vicious spiral. A while back, there was a police shooting at a traffic stop (the guy sped off) and it turned out he had been arrested 21 times. I have zero evidence, but my feeling is that the same types of infractions folks in one community are pulled over for are glossed over in others (missing front license plate, tail light out), which starts the vicious cycle.
Re:Bayesian Analysis of Racial Bias in Police Shootings in t... by micahbright on Friday July 08, 2016 @04:06PM (#12058268)
You're right - it could be. But we don't like to make assumptions since we're having a rational scientific discussion. BTW, since the proportion of convictions is so high, it is going to require some pretty good explaining. Not some, off the cuff, hand-wavy, un-falsifiable, muh prejudice. Since our justice system is built on principles like "It is better that ten guilty persons escape than that one innocent suffer", you better have a whole pile of evidence that people are getting convicted erroneously here.
Re:Bayesian Analysis of Racial Bias in Police Shootings in t... by jrapdx3 on Friday July 08, 2016 @07:10PM (#12059212)
Pragmatically, criminal convictions of all individuals, race notwithstanding, requires a unanimous jury verdict. In those jurisdictions with high concentration of blacks, which is where the preponderance of black crime takes place, juries would be highly likely to include black members whose assent is required for conviction of a black defendant.

On that basis, non-black bias against blacks would not account for population rates of convictions in those localities, at least insofar as post-arrest procedures are concerned.

Conceivably other factors could be implicated in conviction rates, e.g., possible higher rates of plea bargaining among black defendants. Still, if the difference in crime rates (based on convictions) is great enough, non-jury convictions wouldn't explain it.

Re:Bayesian Analysis of Racial Bias in Police Shootings in t... by dragonwriter on Friday July 08, 2016 @07:27PM (#12059288)
> Pragmatically, criminal convictions of all individuals, race notwithstanding, requires a unanimous jury verdict.

No, pragmatically the vast majority of criminal convictions are the result of plea bargains, with no jury involved; the calculus that goes into agreeing to a plea bargain certainly includes the expectations regarding a jury verdict, but it also includes the cost of pre-trial confinement and other factors.

> In those jurisdictions with high concentration of blacks, which is where the preponderance of black crime takes place, juries would be highly likely to include black members whose assent is required for conviction of a black defendant.

It may be more likely that this is the case, but its not guaranteed. Particularly given that jury pools are not guaranteed to be representative (typically, they are determined by means like voter registration and drivers licenses, which may not be consistent in participation across races.)

> On that basis, bias against blacks would not account for population rates of convictions in those localities, at least insofar as post-arrest procedures are concerned.

You seem to be saying that jury pool considerations would prevent racial bias in post-arrest conviction rates; while that's wrong for post-charge rates for the reasons stated earlier in this comment, its even more wrong for post-arrest rates because it ignores prosecutorial bias, which introduces potential post-arrest bias in the rates of criminal charges being pursued for like conduct.

> Still, if the difference in crime rates (based on convictions) is great enough, non-jury convictions wouldn't explain it.

Upwards of 90% of US criminal cases (not just convictions, but all cases; the share of convictions -- since all plea bargains are convictions -- is even higher than the share of cases) are resolved by plea bargains [0]. There's virtually no level of disparity in total convictions that could be explained by disparity in the plea bargaining process, which is overwhelmingly how criminal convictions are arrived at.

[0] https://www.bja.gov/Publications/PleaBargainingResearchSumma...

Re:Bayesian Analysis of Racial Bias in Police Shootings in t... by jrapdx3 on Saturday July 09, 2016 @03:43AM (#12060585)
I think that your points about biases in arrest and prosecution being more problematic than I considered are likely correct. I knew plea bargains were common, though the rate you cite is high but not implausible. If there is significant plea bargain rate disparity among racial/ethnic groups it might affect conclusions about impact of racial biases.

While juries are not uniformly populated, in predominantly black communities I'd expect at least some jurors will be black. When there is a jury trial, a requirement for unanimous decision gives any juror "veto" power over a guilty verdict, which in principle mitigates racial bias against a black defendant.

Many years ago when I lived in Washington, DC, blacks were by far the majority. In that environment, racial bias against black residents should logically be minimal in all phases of the criminal justice process. It's not the sort of question I've researched, but someone experienced in that domain should tackle it if the question is still unanswered. In any case, if bias is detected in such a community seems there's a serious problem of a different kind.

Re:Bayesian Analysis of Racial Bias in Police Shootings in t... by esrauch on Friday July 08, 2016 @06:28PM (#12059040)
I don't think the convictions rates indicate anything contrary to the alleged systemic racism here. The claim that was made in my undergrad criminal justice classes (so taken with appropriate grain of salt with that context) was "white people who commit petty crimes are less likely to end up in court at all, and for larger crimes you are more likely to be convicted if you've been previously convicted for petty crimes, leading to higher rates of conviction for both petty and major crimes" not at all "large scale cases of black people in court for crimes who are actually innocent".
Re:Bayesian Analysis of Racial Bias in Police Shootings in t... by cloudjacker on Friday July 08, 2016 @04:34PM (#12058450)
hm, but it isn't built on those principles and not practiced in any consistency throughout the myriad of jurisdictions in the united states

the district attorneys and prosecutors have discretion on what facts [of the case] are relevant, have discretion on what crime to levy which influences the burden of proof, have discretion on what recommended sentence to pursue, and the judges have discretion on pursuing that sentence or not

Re:Bayesian Analysis of Racial Bias in Police Shootings in t... by micahbright on Friday July 08, 2016 @04:48PM (#12058533)
That's all interesting, except you have to realize that DA are motivated by convictions. Convictions are hard because it requires a unanimous vote from a jury of your peers. So, yes, they exercise their discretion on what facts are relevant and which cases to pursue. But they do not drop cases because its a white guy and keep them because its a black guy as you are insinuating. At most, race is going to be a minor factor when compared with the gravity of the crime and the likelihood of conviction.
Re:Bayesian Analysis of Racial Bias in Police Shootings in t... by dragonwriter on Friday July 08, 2016 @07:34PM (#12059319)
> But they do not drop cases because its a white guy and keep them because its a black guy as you are insinuating.

Actual studies of plea bargaining have shown that there are racial biases in what prosecutors offer in deals between black and white defendants [0]. It seems unlikely that the same bias would not also be reflected in decisions to charge in the first place.

[0] https://www.bja.gov/Publications/PleaBargainingResearchSumma...: "Studies that assess the effects of race find that blacks are less likely to receive a reduced charge compared with whites (Farnworth and Teske, 1995; Johnson, 2003; Kellough and Wortley, 2002; Ulmer and Bradley, 2006). Additionally, one study found that blacks are also less likely to receive the benefits of shorter or reduced sentences as a result of the exercise of prosecutorial discretion during plea bargaining (Johnson, 2003)."

Re:Bayesian Analysis of Racial Bias in Police Shootings in t... by micahbright on Saturday July 09, 2016 @07:29PM (#12063821)
The fact that there are racial biases in what prosecutors offer between black and white is misleading at best. It simply follows from the facts that we already have: blacks are convicted more often. If blacks are convicted more often, they have longer rap sheets on average. You are unlikely to get a better plea deal if you have a history of committing crime.

Now, if they had gone and showed that first time offenders, for example, had shown a racial bias between blacks and whites, you'd have me impressed.

In effect, you are going back to the original argument, that it's just systemic racism. Unfortunately, you have not provided any falsifiable evidence that this is true.

Re:Bayesian Analysis of Racial Bias in Police Shootings in t... by cloudjacker on Friday July 08, 2016 @05:23PM (#12058756)
I was not insinuating anything.

My statements are purposely written to be read independent of the context in this thread to avoid your exact rebuttal. Maybe you were expecting someone else to reply to you.

Continuing, there is a saying that "prosecutors can get a jury to convict a ham sandwich", although more applicable in civil asset forfeiture proceedings that happen to involve a jury. They can give incorrect instructions, they can give arbitrary instructions, they can create any number of constraints for the jury to consider, and they also screen jury members out for various reasons such as a potential juror's affinity for jury nullification.

This allows for greater success in their conviction rate, especially in the idea of the complacent juror.

Re:Bayesian Analysis of Racial Bias in Police Shootings in t... by quesera on Saturday July 09, 2016 @01:20AM (#12060227)
> there is a saying that "prosecutors can get a jury to convict a ham sandwich

The quote is that a good prosecutor can get a grand jury to indict a ham sandwich. The meaning is entirely different from your interpretation.

Re:Bayesian Analysis of Racial Bias in Police Shootings in t... by cloudjacker on Saturday July 09, 2016 @01:37PM (#12062409)
Good point

Having read enough appeals cases I will maintain what I mentioned about what prosecutors have discretion over.

Re:Bayesian Analysis of Racial Bias in Police Shootings in t... by MarkMc on Friday July 08, 2016 @06:34PM (#12059064)
What about using the proportion of black assailants as reported by the victims? Would that be relatively free of bias?
Re:Bayesian Analysis of Racial Bias in Police Shootings in t... by dragonwriter on Friday July 08, 2016 @06:51PM (#12059125)
> What about using the proportion of black assailants as reported by the victims? Would that be relatively free of bias?

No. There is considerable history of victims not only misidentifying the perpetrator, but even inventing the offense to smear someone because of racial bias, personal animus, or other reasons. To the extent that there is a systematic racial bias throughout society, you'd expect it to be reflected in such reports.

Re:Bayesian Analysis of Racial Bias in Police Shootings in t... by michaelbuddy on Friday July 08, 2016 @08:47PM (#12059550)
A "considerable history"? You've got nothing here. And you're gonna have to deal with it. Victim of crime survey data is an actual thing we have. You're trying to make it untrue because of your own bias.
Re:Bayesian Analysis of Racial Bias in Police Shootings in t... by fweespeech on Friday July 08, 2016 @03:26PM (#12058019)
> To show racial bias you have to show that police are disproportionately targeting blacks relative to the rate of crime, if you make the false assumption that the rate of crime is equal between black people and white people then your conclusions will be wrong.

> Even for something like traffic stops, you need to study whether or not black people are more likely to get pulled over because they are black or because they are more likely to be young and therefore more likely to speed. It isn't enough to just say that black people are disproportionately stopped, you have to show that the rate of speeding is the same to show bias.

http://washingtonmonthly.com/magazine/janfeb-2014/driving-wh...

> The key influence on who is stopped in traffic safety stops is how you drive; in investigatory stops it is who you are, and being black is the leading influence. In traffic safety stops, being black has no influence: African Americans are not significantly more likely than whites to be stopped for clear traffic safety law violations. But in investigatory stops, a black man age twenty-five or younger has a 28 percent chance of being stopped for an investigatory reason over the course of a year; a similar young white man has a 12.5 percent chance, and a similar young white woman has only a 7 percent chance. And this is after taking into account other possible influences on being stopped, like how you drive. Police focus investigatory stops on younger people, and so as people grow older they are less likely to be stopped in this way. But a black man must reach fifty—well into the graying years—before his risk of an investigatory stop drops below that of a white man under age twenty-five. Overall, black drivers are nearly three times more likely than whites to be subjected to investigatory stops.

> Being black is also the leading influence on how far police officers pursue their inquisition in investigatory stops. In these stops, full-blown vehicle searches are relatively common. After taking into account other possible influences, black drivers in our survey were five times more likely than whites to be subjected to searches in investigatory stops. Searches are remarkably rare in traffic safety stops, and the driver’s race has no influence on whether the driver is searched in these stops.

Fyi, investigatory stops means the cop pulls you over for reasons that don't involve a traffic violation.

Re:Bayesian Analysis of Racial Bias in Police Shootings in t... by timbuckley on Saturday July 09, 2016 @10:51AM (#12061462)
Could you edit your post to make it clearer where you are quoting a user and where you are quoting something else?
Re:Bayesian Analysis of Racial Bias in Police Shootings in t... by fweespeech on Monday July 11, 2016 @05:28PM (#12074836)
Sorry didn't notice this in time, edit window closed.