Startup that Predicts Success of Other Startups

Re:Startup that Predicts Success of Other Startups by ivankirigin on Monday February 18, 2008 @09:16PM (#118602)

Silly idea:

1. take every email exchange you've had with past YC companies whose outcomes are now known. Good=bought, IPO, etc., Bad=no longer exists (with exceptions for folks like Kiko?)

2. train a bayesian filter on the set

3. Apply to the rest with as yet unknown outcomes

4. Publish the results :D

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Re:Startup that Predicts Success of Other Startups by pg on Tuesday February 19, 2008 @12:30AM (#118710)

We do plan to try this with the applications one day. I'm not super optimistic, but it's worth trying.

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