In general, I agree.
Temperature changes will likely be dealt with by living underground, and there's something to be said for the ability to nope out of there in a couple days instead of months/years.
I think there's value to figuring out both - a giant space telescope on the far side of the Moon would be amazing for science - but Mars seems like the more logical first spot.
I think Mars will ultimately prove much easier to colonize. Getting there isn't necessarily hard once we've figured it out; we have the life support systems to keep the ISS going (albeit with constant support from the ground) for 15 years, and we can already do all the orbital math and whatnot. It's just a matter of doing it.