Re:Our Brain Uses Statistics to Calculate Confidence, Make D...
by nl on Thursday May 05, 2016 @03:24AM
(#11634513)
If your standard is that humans will apply Bayes' theorem correctly, completely intuitively, as more evidence becomes available, I think it will be very easy to falsify that.
Yes. And there is increasing evidence that this is correct. See[1]. If you can find a copy, I think [2] will address many of your concerns about seemingly irrational behavior being supported by statistical reasoning.
Yes. And there is increasing evidence that this is correct. See[1]. If you can find a copy, I think [2] will address many of your concerns about seemingly irrational behavior being supported by statistical reasoning.
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayesian_approaches_to_brain_f...
[2] http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/19477333