Re:Preparing for the Future of Artificial Intelligence
by imh on Wednesday May 04, 2016 @12:03PM
(#11629284)
There's also a reverse version with the same mistaken assumption.
Gambler: "I already got five 6's. I must be on a roll! I'll surely get another one."
Re:Preparing for the Future of Artificial Intelligence
by armitron on Thursday May 05, 2016 @04:39PM
(#11639501)
The correct assumption to make in this case would be that the dice is loaded. Same decision, different reasoning.
Re:Preparing for the Future of Artificial Intelligence
by xerophyte12932 on Monday May 09, 2016 @02:54AM
(#11658028)
Well, getting five 6's in a row is 1/7776 , so I suppose it is debatable if one could establish the dice are loaded from such a small sample set.
Gambler: "I already got five 6's. I can't possibly get another one. That's a statistical improbability!"
Wrong assumption: Past dice rolls affect future rolls where as dice rolls are independent. Its improbably to get six 6's in a row but GIVEN that you have 5 sixes, getting a sixth is just 1/6
Am I right?