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Re:The Heart of Deterrence (2012) by chrisseaton on Saturday April 23, 2016 @10:36AM (#11555668)
This argument makes absolutely no sense.

Can you agree that sometimes it is morally just and legally permitted to use violence?

Can you also imagine that someone may know that it is the right thing to order this violence, but be put off by physically having to hack someone up themselves?

If so, do you now see the practical problem that the friends in the Pentagon were warning of? With the capsule in the person you are clouding the judgement of the president and making it harder for them to make a cool assessment of the right course of action, not adding some kind of clever moral check. Can't you see that?

If you want to know more about this issue, read up on the 'trolley problem'. It's a more complex moral issue than your snarky comment implies.

Re:The Heart of Deterrence (2012) by vidarh on Saturday April 23, 2016 @10:44AM (#11555715)
The problem is whether they "know that it is the right thing" vs. just do it because the negative repercussions are not felt strongly enough to deter him in circumstances when it is not the right thing.

Perhaps the butcher knife and the capsule is too extreme, but on the other hand, perhaps just having to issue some codes is too easy.

The situations where a nuclear counter-attack serves any moral purpose are limited enough that such thought experiment are worthwhile means or considering what level of deterrence should be in place.

Re:The Heart of Deterrence (2012) by GunboatDiplomat on Saturday April 23, 2016 @11:43AM (#11555989)
Let's be honest - the President is not going to be pushing the button unless enemy missiles are already in the air. In that situation, we're all screwed, and a retaliatory launch is the appropriate action. Under that circumstance, the President should not be required to hack someone open in order to do the right thing.
Re:The Heart of Deterrence (2012) by danbruc on Saturday April 23, 2016 @12:17PM (#11556143)
Why is it the right thing to do? A lot of people are already dead or about to die in the immediate future, why would you want to kill even more people, most of whom are not responsible for the attack? It's just pitiable revenge unless you specifically try to deter further attacks which may or may not be necessary and effectively achieved by the use of nuclear weapons.
Re:The Heart of Deterrence (2012) by GunboatDiplomat on Saturday April 23, 2016 @04:11PM (#11557211)
Why is revenge pitiable? If your enemies are ruthless (and they are), then they need to believe you to be ruthless as well, so they believe you WILL launch a retaliatory strike and destroy them if they launch a first strike.
Re:The Heart of Deterrence (2012) by danbruc on Saturday April 23, 2016 @05:03PM (#11557411)
I am not a native English speaker, so maybe I choose the wrong word here but I think it fits according to the dictionary. Revenge is a bad thing, especially in this situation, you do exactly what you condemn, you kill a lot of innocent people. You try to appear strong, you tell everyone that you will lunch retaliation strikes, but the leaders of this other country don't give a shit, they really hate you and launch a first strike. Then they hide in a bunker. And now? You really want to nuke the people of that country? You won't hit the leaders and the people didn't do anything to you. Chances are that they hate the leaders as much as you do. So why on earth would you do that?
Re:The Heart of Deterrence (2012) by GunboatDiplomat on Saturday April 23, 2016 @05:28PM (#11557496)
>Revenge is a bad thing, especially in this situation, you do exactly what you condemn, you kill a lot of innocent people.

I disagree. The instinct for revenge serves a very important purpose in stabilizing society. If I know you will want revenge should I kill your brother, it makes me less likely to do so, and vice versa. Revenge is also the basis of the justice system, though obviously not its total extent. For example, if you kidnap someone, we do exactly what we condemn and forcibly hold you in a facility for a number of years or life. And yet the moral implications of that are different because of the differing situation.

>You try to appear strong, you tell everyone that you will lunch retaliation strikes, but the leaders of this other country don't give a shit, they really hate you and launch a first strike.

Appearing weak doesn't prevent a first strike by our opponents either. In fact, it increases likelihood of one. So if our options are appear strong or weak, and appearing weak has grave consequences, I will appear strong.

>You really want to nuke the people of that country? You won't hit the leaders and the people didn't do anything to you. Chances are that they hate the leaders as much as you do. So why on earth would you do that?

The people are guilty of allowing a criminal regime to initiate nuclear warfare against another party. No individual or small clique (small enough to fit in a bunker) can launch a nuclear first strike without the cooperation of a large, representative sample of their nation. They are complicit. They launched a strike. They will suffer and die.

Re:The Heart of Deterrence (2012) by danbruc on Saturday April 23, 2016 @06:26PM (#11557680)
I disagree. The instinct for revenge serves a very important purpose in stabilizing society. If I know you will want revenge should I kill your brother, it makes me less likely to do so, and vice versa. Revenge is also the basis of the justice system, though obviously not its total extent. For example, if you kidnap someone, we do exactly what we condemn and forcibly hold you in a facility for a number of years or life. And yet the moral implications of that are different because of the differing situation.

Revenge is not supposed to be the basis of any modern justice system, we don't lock people up to make them suffer, we do in order to change them, to make them not commit crimes again, to make them honor the rules of the society they live in. This necessarily involves an element of force, acting against the will of the criminal, but the motive is not revenge. We actually try to avoid revenge as much as we can, we condemn vigilantism because people act irrationally and are likely to overreact or even go after the wrong one. Revenge is not stabilizing, it is destabilizing.

Appearing weak doesn't prevent a first strike by our opponents either. In fact, it increases likelihood of one. So if our options are appear strong or weak, and appearing weak has grave consequences, I will appear strong.

If you really believe this to be true, you have to conclude that it is irresponsible for any country not to try to obtain nuclear weapons. You would have to support North Korea to obtain nuclear weapons because that will reduce the likelihood of war. Nuclear disarmament would be a stupid idea. You are suggesting that humans are egoistic greedy assholes always wanting to just conquer the entire world, to grab all the resources and the only thing that prevents them from doing this are the expected costs and causalities of the conflicts. It is a bit like suggesting that wearing sexy cloths is a bad thing because it provokes getting raped. Being strong and able to fight an attacker is not the same thing as being able and willing to nuke innocent people. The right thing to do is building missile defense capabilities, that might actually save your people. And you of course don't do that in order to gain first strike capabilities because you no longer have to fear retaliation strikes, you actually do it to have a strong defense against attackers. You don't develop or get rid of you offensive weapons to show that you really do it for defense and not for improving your first strike capabilities.

The people are guilty of allowing a criminal regime to initiate nuclear warfare against another party. No individual or small clique (small enough to fit in a bunker) can launch a nuclear first strike without the cooperation of a large, representative sample of their nation. They are complicit. They launched a strike. They will suffer and die.

So if a dictator forcefully acquires the power in a country, the people are guilty? It is immoral if they just try to survive instead of resisting and risking getting killed? The people in North Korea really enjoy their liefs and support the regime? Which by the way certainly fits into a bunker. Is a mother guilty in case her child, despite her best effort, becomes a murderer? Should we kill the mother in revenge for unleashing her child onto the world? Just throw her into jail for a decade or two?

Re:The Heart of Deterrence (2012) by GunboatDiplomat on Saturday April 23, 2016 @10:03PM (#11558259)
>Revenge is not supposed to be the basis of any modern justice system, we don't lock people up to make them suffer, we do in order to change them, to make them not commit crimes again, to make them honor the rules of the society they live in.

That's patently untrue. The very notion of justice is built upon revenge. To say modern justice systems aren't based on it is to say they float in the air, founded upon nothing.

>If you really believe this to be true, you have to conclude that it is irresponsible for any country not to try to obtain nuclear weapons.

Well, yes, it is eminently sensible in many situations to obtain nuclear weapons for your country. That doesn't mean I have to support them doing so, as it is not necessarily in MY interest for them to do so, even if it is in their own interest.

> You are suggesting that humans are egoistic greedy assholes always wanting to just conquer the entire world, to grab all the resources and the only thing that prevents them from doing this are the expected costs and causalities of the conflicts.

Our domination of the planet suggests this is the case.

>It is a bit like suggesting that wearing sexy cloths is a bad thing because it provokes getting raped.

No, it's not.

>So if a dictator forcefully acquires the power in a country, the people are guilty?

A dictator cannot gain power without the support of a large segment of the population.

> It is immoral if they just try to survive instead of resisting and risking getting killed?

Yes. It is immoral not to resist evil.

>Is a mother guilty in case her child, despite her best effort, becomes a murderer?

What does that have to do with the price of tea in China?

Re:The Heart of Deterrence (2012) by danbruc on Saturday April 23, 2016 @11:27PM (#11558428)
That's patently untrue. The very notion of justice is built upon revenge. To say modern justice systems aren't based on it is to say they float in the air, founded upon nothing.

Citation needed. »Justifications for punishment include retribution, deterrence, rehabilitation, and incapacitation.« [1] Note that retribution is not revenge and that retribution is probably the most controversial justification for legal punishment. [2] What good does it do, whom does it help?

Well, yes, it is eminently sensible in many situations to obtain nuclear weapons for your country. That doesn't mean I have to support them doing so, as it is not necessarily in MY interest for them to do so, even if it is in their own interest.

Why would it not be in your interest unless you want to attack that other country? You argued that not having nuclear weapons increases the risk of being attacked, so more nuclear weapons should reduce the likelihood of armed conflicts which in turn means a more stable world which benefits everyone (besides weapons manufacturers and the like).

Our domination of the planet suggests this is the case.

How does that follow? The dominant species on a planet can certainly be benevolent. I grant you that humanity had and probably always will have a fair share of assholes and that they are good at getting into influential positions, but without good additional arguments I wilt not grant you that it is a fundamental aspect of humans that will forever prevent us from living together in peace. We certainly still have to go a long way, but we also have already come a long way.

No, it's not.

If you don't have nuclear weapons you increase the risk of being attacked, you should really consider getting some.

If you wear sexy cloths (not wear non-sexy cloths) you increase the risk of being rapped, you should really consider getting some non-sexy cloths.

A dictator cannot gain power without the support of a large segment of the population.

A coup d'état does neither require the participation nor the support of a large fraction of the population.

Yes. It is immoral not to resist evil.

That is a bold statement. How far does that go? If I see someone pointing a gun at somebody, should I try to intervene even if it is likely that I don't stand a chance? Is it my moral obligation to travel to North Korea and try to topple regime?

What does that have to do with the price of tea in China?

You argued that the people are responsible for the actions of their leaders. It is admittedly not the best analogy but wouldn't it similarly follow that a mother is responsible for the actions of her child?

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Punishment

[2] http://plato.stanford.edu/entries/legal-punishment/

Re:The Heart of Deterrence (2012) by mdpopescu on Saturday April 23, 2016 @12:47PM (#11556268)
This is the second time I've seen this statement (the president won't launch nuclear missiles without being attacked first). Given that this is demonstrably false in the case of the US, I'm wondering what you're basing this on.

(The US has never been bombed by any other nation but it has bombed a couple dozens. In the case of nukes, it is the only nation that has used them against another country.)

Re:The Heart of Deterrence (2012) by GunboatDiplomat on Saturday April 23, 2016 @04:15PM (#11557228)
The US has never been bombed? That's patently false. The American Philippines? Pearl Harbor? The balloon bombs? Attu & Kiska? None of that rings a bell?

At the time of their introduction, nuclear weapons were not yet understood as qualitatively different from an equally powerful amount of conventional weapons. The qualitative difference observed after Hiroshima and Nagasaki helped establish this qualitative difference in the minds of people.

Re:The Heart of Deterrence (2012) by vidarh on Saturday April 23, 2016 @12:49PM (#11556276)
If it is so obviously the right thing, then "being required to hack someone open" shouldn't matter. That is the point of the thought exercise: To ask what kind of sacrifice is a suitable deterrent to ensure that a counterstrike is only ordered when it is sufficiently obvious that it is the right thing.
Re:The Heart of Deterrence (2012) by chrisseaton on Saturday April 23, 2016 @01:08PM (#11556363)
But you could know that it's obviously the right thing, and so know that it's the right thing to do to hack the person open, but still find it hard to actually physically do it.

Having the grit and resolution to hack someone open and being able to make a good decision about using weapons are unrelated. Why conflate them?

Re:The Heart of Deterrence (2012) by vidarh on Saturday April 23, 2016 @01:13PM (#11556386)
It's a thought experiment. It does not have to be hacking him up. The point is exactly to create a barrier that is sufficiently hard to cross to make the person think twice about making the choice.

An alternative might be to have the person carry the suitcase with orders never to surrender it, forcing you to be prepared to shoot him or order him shot if he can't be subdued, or any number of "easier" variants.

Part of the point is forcing people to think about why it is appropriate to order the murder of millions of innocent civilians if you are unwilling to kill a single person face to face.

There may be valid answers, such as if you have reasons to worry about further, more destructive additional strikes and want to try to take out their capabilities. But there are also many digusting reasons, such as being willing to carry out mass murder on innocents out of a desire for vengeance.

Re:The Heart of Deterrence (2012) by hga on Saturday April 23, 2016 @01:20PM (#11556420)
Eh, it was a propaganda attack on "Warmonger Reagan", who'd just become President, and the military he supported, disguised as a thought experiment.
Re:The Heart of Deterrence (2012) by vidarh on Saturday April 23, 2016 @01:49PM (#11556548)
There's no reason it can't be both.
Re:The Heart of Deterrence (2012) by GunboatDiplomat on Saturday April 23, 2016 @04:13PM (#11557216)
The knowledge that launching a first strike will invariably result in most of the nation being wiped out in the enemies retaliation is knowledge enough to prevent a first strike from being launched in all circumstances.
Re:The Heart of Deterrence (2012) by 8note on Saturday April 23, 2016 @12:23PM (#11556160)
I don't think a president Trump would have any reservations about nuking "terrorists' families"
Re:The Heart of Deterrence (2012) by Zigurd on Saturday April 23, 2016 @12:16PM (#11556138)
> ...and a retaliatory launch is the appropriate action.

Why? So that when a new intelligence emerges on this planet they'll know the value of deterrence?

Re:The Heart of Deterrence (2012) by GunboatDiplomat on Saturday April 23, 2016 @04:10PM (#11557204)
So you're Ok with, say, Putin deciding to launch his arsenal in a first strike and wiping out the US and allies with no retaliation?
Re:The Heart of Deterrence (2012) by Zigurd on Saturday April 23, 2016 @05:50PM (#11557570)
If he launches, deterrence failed and civilation is gone. What is the point of killing even more people?
Re:The Heart of Deterrence (2012) by jMyles on Saturday April 23, 2016 @10:59AM (#11555794)
> Can you agree that sometimes it is morally just and legally permitted to use violence?

Even if one can agree, which I think most of us can, this particular dilemma is specific to weapons of mass destruction, because their use inevitably (and intentionally) causes the death of many, many people who aren't the target but are in the wrong place at the wrong time.

So, the thinking goes, it makes some sense to force the president to kill someone who isn't the target to ensure that it's a worthwhile sacrifice.

Re:The Heart of Deterrence (2012) by chrisseaton on Saturday April 23, 2016 @11:08AM (#11555836)
My main objection is that the person telling the anecdote is making fun of the people in the pentagon, making it look like they didn't get his clever little moral trick, when in reality, like many things in life, it isn't quite that simple and maybe they had a good point.