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Re:U.S. Drops California Case Against Apple After Accessing ... by eru on Tuesday March 29, 2016 @10:27PM (#11386563)
Thanks. So the best strategy is even simpler!

So you do vote above the cutoff. But the optimal cutoff is really simple to find from the polls.

Re:U.S. Drops California Case Against Apple After Accessing ... by winstonewert on Tuesday March 29, 2016 @11:38PM (#11386803)
I don't think that works. Polls tell you the levels of support of the candidates, they don't give you the probability of each candidate winning which is what you need to figure out the expected value of the winner.
Re:U.S. Drops California Case Against Apple After Accessing ... by eru on Wednesday March 30, 2016 @04:05AM (#11387660)
I guess it's back to the prediction markets (or fivethirtyeight) then.