Re:AlphaGo Can't Beat Me, Says Chinese Go Grandmaster Ke Jie
by wolfgke on Thursday March 10, 2016 @06:55AM
(#11258651)
Before you can talk about "exponentially improve" you first have to define what kind of scale you want to use.
Re:AlphaGo Can't Beat Me, Says Chinese Go Grandmaster Ke Jie
by ant6n on Friday March 11, 2016 @07:05AM
(#11266081)
Given the talk about scales,
Was expecting this one: https://xkcd.com/271/
Re:AlphaGo Can't Beat Me, Says Chinese Go Grandmaster Ke Jie
by rbanffy on Thursday March 10, 2016 @09:31AM
(#11259372)
It will be twice as fast for the same budget in about two years, maybe less. That'll allow it to better analyse outcomes.
And it will continue improving at about the same rate for the next few years, at least.
In the long term, meatware has no chance against it.
Re:AlphaGo Can't Beat Me, Says Chinese Go Grandmaster Ke Jie
by nacs on Thursday March 10, 2016 @11:43AM
(#11260233)
This is assuming the limitation is mostly processing power.
From what I've read, more processing power would allow the AI to calculate possible outcomes for each move further into the future but that does not mean the AI's overall success rate will go up at the same rate.
I think that part is irrelevant because I think everyone knows that would be the case - that in a few months or years, the AI would exponentially improve.