Re:Eric Schmidt to head new Pentagon innovation board
by eru on Wednesday March 02, 2016 @10:16PM
(#11214809)
If you give me a deadline and a list of companies, I am willing to bet money against this.
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Re:Eric Schmidt to head new Pentagon innovation board
by api on Thursday March 03, 2016 @09:09PM
(#11221587)
A list would be tough. I'd personally bet on a Chinese vendor or a perhaps yet to be born startup with explosive growth on a trendy home automation product.
I'd say by 2020 or so there will be a major well publicized leak or scandal from such a vendor.
It'd be hard to place a bet though, since it'd be hard to decide if/when a bet were actually won.
Re:Eric Schmidt to head new Pentagon innovation board
by niels_olson on Wednesday March 02, 2016 @11:06PM
(#11214960)
Before 1 January 2020. Company will be a recent entrant into the fortune 1000. By recent, I mean not in the Fortune 1000 as of 1 January 2010. $1 says it happens. If 100 people bet against me, I pay out 1 cent to each. If more than 100 bet against me and win, I pay a cent to first 100.
I'm not sure how other lines of betting work, but interested in proposals.
Re:Eric Schmidt to head new Pentagon innovation board
by eru on Thursday March 03, 2016 @08:43PM
(#11221487)
Thanks. That's too general for me. I would bet if you gave me a smaller list of companies (eg Google, Facebook, Amazon, Microsoft), and a more specific list of incidents.
And, of course, we would have to agree on odds. Eg, if you are really sure you could offer to pay me 5 USD if your prediction comes true, but I'd only have to pay 1 USD otherwise. (Or if I feel more sure, I could offer eg to pay 7 USD for every 4 USD you wager.)