I don't understand where this argument comes from. A basic income doesn't create money. For the average (literally average) taxpayer, the tax required to pay for the basic income will exactly match the amount of the basic income and it cancels. Higher-than-average income people would pay more in taxes which money would fund the basic income for lower-than-average income people.
The only argument you can really make is that lower income people are more likely to actually spend the money. But that is true of anything that increases the income of lower income people.
Moreover, most of the goods people buy today are either not of the type you consume significantly more of when you have more money, or are not rooted in scarcity. If you give lower income people more money and they buy more iPhones, Apple is not going to run out of iPhones and have to raise prices to ration them, they're just going to make more iPhones.
The goods that actually are scarce, like housing and food, would be affected in theory, but we already artificially prop up the prices of those things. If we wanted the price to go down then there are obvious things we could do, like not impeding high density housing construction or not paying farmers to not plant crops.
This article [1] addresses that concern in a little more depth. Basically, the evidence we have from places that have tried this is that it might decrease inflation, and that in any case, the value of the income would far outstrip increased prices.
[1] https://medium.com/basic-income/wouldnt-unconditional-basic-...
I hope the answers are in that article! Thanks.
I'd imagine that we'd already SEE that inflation, motivated through e.g. SNAP instead of UBI. There's an optimization curve that producers are fitting; and if the lower segments of the economy have more money to spend, that curve would probably lift some, but to lift sufficiently as to preclude such a significant market segment I imagine would be self defeating.
That being said; I only feel that intuition for goods that can readily market to the poorest market segments with profit. For goods that already require jobbing (mid-high end luxury goods as an easy example), if UBI was on top of that, I imagine you'd certainly see inflation in those domains, unless enough people stopped working entirely to fall into the UBI-only market segment. I'd be curious to hear what someone with any real economics background (not I) has to say on this, since I can only reason about it on a very first-order level.
Or not. With, presumably, no more minimum wage and everyone with a poverty line-ish income without working, maybe Walmart doesn't need to pay as much to get part-time workers who just want to earn a little extra.
It's true that no amount of money will let everyone have a house in San Francisco, so for real estate in particular, inflation is a big problem. But there are other places to live, and on the margin, UBI will make it more feasible to move to cheaper places instead of where the most jobs are. (Social security is why there are so many senior citizens in Florida.)
[1] http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2015/08/13/housing-first-federa...
Nobody is hoarding wealth, they are hoarding money. There's a huge difference between the two. When money is 'hoarded', it results in lower prices for the remaining goods and services in the economy, which is equivalent of investment in money itself.
To put it another way, whenever someone hoards money, it becomes equivalent of him investing into every other investor's investment in proportion.
Regarding hoarding, do you think I meant they're keeping it under a mattress? Hoarding (which I'll admit is poor word choice and inflammatory) means they're allowed by policy to keep more than they ought to be if we want a UBI, or to raise up the lowest end of income spectrum.
That said, I don't see how a UBI works as long as people's appetites remain, basically, insatiable. Providing a UBI would seem to end up increasing inflation of basic goods and services.