2. If you meant that it learnt to play 2d games through watching pixels, it still didn't interpret any meaning, and it's still a huge leap to go to interpreting the real world.
3. The real world is noisy. You don't see it because the brain handles all that part for you, but even something like different lighting or a smoke cloud can throw a computer off completely.
2. Not at all. Haven't you seen the videos of computers walking around recognizing things? This is already here.
3. The real world is noisy, yes, but a factory is not. It will have a limited set of components to be recognized.
https://www.cs.toronto.edu/~vmnih/docs/dqn.pdf: In Algorithm 1, see variables r and y_j.
Addendum: My broader implication is that if you misunderstand such a basic aspect of machine learning (and reinforcement learning), it makes me question whether we should lend credibility to your predictions about the field.
Edited to address reply.
RL is definitely not unsupervised learning, which in contrast, attempts to find some structure in unlabeled data.
If an AI had decided that flash crashes were a way to get rich, you can guarantee that Goldman Sachs would be running one 24/7 right now. High frequency trading systems are actually quite constrained. Even if you hooked together all the worlds supercomputers and somehow got them into the datacenter of the stock exchange, you wouldn't be able to maintain the trading volume HFT systems do with a deep learning system.
Also, as far as I know, the successful videogame playing systems that accomplish some degree of 'long term planning' (meaning more than a few frames) all cheat. They actually "learn" by trying and then rolling the system back. In reality, you can't roll the system back. So that would be a fatal handicap to their methods.
Deep Mind is training computers to WIN in virtual environments right now. What if they train them against simulation of real world environments instead of video games? What if a computer discovers that blowing something up is a way to get a 'higher score'? What if they accidentally get pushed to production?
It's war games / bostrom's paper clip monstrosity. it can happen.
Arguably, it may have already happened in a flash crash. Create a simulation of a stock exchange, train a computer to win the market, it discovers that crashing the market to makes lots of money, gets pushed to production.
Instant global chaos (though maybe the AI owner gets richer). The future is now, folks..