Re:Bayes's Theorem: What's the Big Deal?
by kybernetikos on Tuesday January 05, 2016 @06:00PM
(#10846796)
One of the "handy wavy preconditions" is that they share priors. This nearly never happens in the real world. Almost all disagreements can be traced to differing priors.
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Re:Bayes's Theorem: What's the Big Deal?
by XFrequentist on Wednesday January 06, 2016 @01:05PM
(#10852221)
No - the precondition is that agents share common knowledge of each others' priors (not that they have the same priors).
Re:Bayes's Theorem: What's the Big Deal?
by kybernetikos on Wednesday January 06, 2016 @02:24PM
(#10852914)
Here's the paper I read: http://www.ma.huji.ac.il/~raumann/pdf/Agreeing%20to%20Disagr...
Here's how it starts: "Theorem: if two people have the same priors..."
Re:Bayes's Theorem: What's the Big Deal?
by XFrequentist on Wednesday January 06, 2016 @03:31PM
(#10853513)
Whoops, seems you are correct. I'd misunderstood this, my apologies.