Re:Bayes's Theorem: What's the Big Deal?
by sago on Tuesday January 05, 2016 @12:16PM
(#10844454)
First Qn: yes. But the rabbit is hiding in the 'enough'. Most commonly the poor uses of BT end up with a narratively argued prior + a single suite of evidence.
For a finite set of evidence (particularly chosen by someone with bias), bias + evidence can be arbitrarily far from the truth.
For a finite set of evidence (particularly chosen by someone with bias), bias + evidence can be arbitrarily far from the truth.