Yes, but the directors of the company are obligated to act in the best interest of shareholders, so hopefully they would do that iff it increases the value of existing shares. (OK, there are many things wrong with this, including the fact that option holders are not shareholders.)
"If the company does extraordinarily well, you will do well also."
Yes, but if the company does very (but not extraordinarily) well, you might end up with nothing.
"If you are making a significant contribution to that success, a rational company will want to reward you and incent you to stay with more options."
But your contribution may not be constant. An early engineer who took a risk (low salary, high chance of being laid off) and built the prototype may not fit in when the company grows, so there may be little rational incentive to treat her fairly.
Also, all shareholders, or the majority?
Can you give me examples of people in jail for this 'crime'? At worst people saw social network, and it seemed a ok.
My understanding is that options for common shares, such as terms at YC, have not even anti dilution protection. So the # you have is a snap shot, and nothing to do what that % would be when you fully vest.
This is where the GGGP (davidwihl) is both right and wrong—knowledge of the cap table at signing won't guarantee anything, but that combined with a good judgement of character is the best you can do. In the end you can get screwed either way, but if there is any caginess up front then run don't walk away.
So yes, options are somewhat of a lottery ticket with ever changing odds. If the company does extraordinarily well, you will do well also. If you truly believe the company has a very good chance at financial success, you should stay irrespective of the number of options. If you are making a significant contribution to that success, a rational company will want to reward you and incent you to stay with more options. If both those things are not true, it is best to seek your fortune elsewhere.