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Re:Apple Reports Record Fourth Quarter Results by abtinf on Tuesday October 27, 2015 @05:43PM (#10461379)
Apple earns 92% of all smartphone profits. There is no competition to wipe out.

http://www.wsj.com/articles/apples-share-of-smartphone-indus...

Re:Apple Reports Record Fourth Quarter Results by aetherson on Tuesday October 27, 2015 @06:21PM (#10461585)
Profit-share is STILL a stupid, vanity metric. This is the metric that says, "If a well-funded competitor steals your market-share at the cost of running a loss, that is actually good for you."

Edit to add: This is the metric that says that life is awesome for taxi companies because Uber runs enormous losses. Profit is a useful metric (and Apple has awesome profits). Market share is a useful metric (and Apple has a small minority of the smartphone market share). Profit-share is something that somebody made up to make Apple's market share not seem as small.

Re:Apple Reports Record Fourth Quarter Results by oldmanjay on Tuesday October 27, 2015 @06:40PM (#10461707)
You assert that iPhone market share is the important metric, but never actually demonstrate why. Care to put some reasoning behind it?

Your taxi analogy is unsatisfying for a number of reasons, not the least of which is the utterly unrelated market conditions between that and the mature consumer electronics industry, but feel free to expand if you think it will go somewhere.

edit: clarity

Re:Apple Reports Record Fourth Quarter Results by aetherson on Tuesday October 27, 2015 @06:50PM (#10461753)
The only reasonable answer to you is: No, of course I won't try to justify why market share is a meaningful metric, and I particularly won't try to justify why this utterly standard metric is meaningful in the context of someone coming up with a ridiculous vanity metric and asserting that it has some value utterly divorced from any argumentation.

But what the hell, I'm feeling unreasonable today:

Market share is meaningful because it demonstrates the size of the market that Apple could potentially reach.

Market share is meaningful because if Apple's market share falls below a critical percentage, people will not target the iPhone for app development (as happened with the Mac and is currently happening with, say, Windows Phone).

Re:Apple Reports Record Fourth Quarter Results by ghaff on Tuesday October 27, 2015 @07:37PM (#10461962)
In the case of app development targeting, I'd agree that Apple's market share is probably more important than Apple's profit share. However, the most relevant metric is probably iOS share of wallet vs. other mobile OSs. $MOBILE_OS can have an arbitrarily large market share but if people don't pay for apps on it, it's not going to be very interesting to app developers.

That said, market share is, of course, at least one of the relevant metrics but the market needs to be defined. Companies don't typically target the largest theoretically possible market for their products. They target a subset for a variety of reasons.

Re:Apple Reports Record Fourth Quarter Results by aetherson on Tuesday October 27, 2015 @08:01PM (#10462068)
I think that's a slightly dated view. I don't think that the app market is mainly defined by "I'll pay $1 for an app" anymore. In a few fields, perhaps. But the most important apps are at this point free ones, and their users are monetized in other ways.
Re:Apple Reports Record Fourth Quarter Results by alwillis on Wednesday October 28, 2015 @01:35AM (#10462993)
I think that's a slightly dated view. I don't think that the app market is mainly defined by "I'll pay $1 for an app" anymore. In a few fields, perhaps. But the most important apps are at this point free ones, and their users are monetized in other ways.

Except the data says differently. From the transcript of the conference call:

>The App Store set new all-time quarterly records for both the number of transacting customers and overall revenue. The strong performance of the App Store helped fuel 1.5 billion dollars in services revenue, also an all-time record.

Re:Apple Reports Record Fourth Quarter Results by ghaff on Tuesday October 27, 2015 @08:35PM (#10462203)
In-app payments and other forms of monetization are still monetization that require users to pay money. That said, I agree there's a balancing act. If a hypothetical "luxury smartphone" had a tiny market share, it wouldn't be an attractive development target in general even if its buyers spent a lot of money on certain types of apps.

But the iPhone isn't really in that position. Certainly, it seems to have no trouble attracting developers and companies creating apps to target travel, subscription, and other services.

Re:Apple Reports Record Fourth Quarter Results by aetherson on Tuesday October 27, 2015 @11:18PM (#10462683)
There are plenty of forms of monetization that don't require users to pay money (ad supported being the obvious one), and there are even more forms of monetization that require the users to pay money, but not pay money for an app (think Uber or Grubhub), and while it does seem to be the case that Android users are less likely to pay money for an app than iPhone users, I'm not aware of any sign that they are less likely to pay for a physical good or physical service through an app.

But clearly iPhone is not in that position, I agree!

Re:Apple Reports Record Fourth Quarter Results by alwillis on Wednesday October 28, 2015 @01:43AM (#10463011)
and while it does seem to be the case that Android users are less likely to pay money for an app than iPhone users, I'm not aware of any sign that they are less likely to pay for a physical good or physical service through an app.

You mean like last year's holiday shopping numbers? From "Apple's iOS Has Once Again Decimated Android When It Comes To Data That Matters": http://www.businessinsider.com/ios-android-shopping-data-201...

>Adobe, which is tracking online shopping, reports the following: "iOS users drove four times as much mobile sales revenue as Android users, 79 and 21 percent respectively."

Re:Apple Reports Record Fourth Quarter Results by ghaff on Wednesday October 28, 2015 @08:14AM (#10463955)
I think parent's point was about free apps that are just access points to a physical world service like airlines, hotels, Uber, Yelp, OpenTable, etc. I do suspect iPhone users spend more per capita generally because they're probably a wealthier demographic than Android. But I also suspect that overall marketshare is more relevant to the companies developing the apps in this case. (It's also somewhat beside the point though because everyone in this position is going to have an iOS and an Android app at a minumum.)
Re:Apple Reports Record Fourth Quarter Results by MaysonL on Wednesday October 28, 2015 @08:57AM (#10464123)
The relevant market would seem to be the handset market. Hasn't Apple's share of that been growing? It sure hasn't dropped much, if at all, while they've ramped production faster and higher than any product in history.
Re:Apple Reports Record Fourth Quarter Results by oldmanjay on Wednesday October 28, 2015 @11:43AM (#10465042)
Just so we are clear, you mainly reasserted your opinions and gave a hypothetical about a market erosion that Apple clearly isn't in, given the fact that their absolute sales have risen.

I remain unconvinced.

Re:Apple Reports Record Fourth Quarter Results by metric10 on Tuesday October 27, 2015 @06:42PM (#10461711)
It means that if Apple where to lower their prices then they'd only be hurting their own profits. Apple (and all scrupulous companies) are trying to maximize profits, not wipe out the competition.
Re:Apple Reports Record Fourth Quarter Results by aetherson on Tuesday October 27, 2015 @06:47PM (#10461735)
"It" doesn't mean that, no. I mean, that may or may not be true, but profit share has no explanatory power here.
Re:Apple Reports Record Fourth Quarter Results by metric10 on Tuesday October 27, 2015 @06:58PM (#10461785)
Profit share means that when you total up all the money that's been made as profits for the industry, 92% of that money went to Apple and 8% went to "other." If Apple where to wipe out the competition as you suggest, then they would gain that final 8% of profits[1]. But if they had to, say, lower their prices by 20% to achieve that, then they wouldn't come out ahead. And that's ignoring the anti-trust issues that would spring up. Thus, that's why I'm saying they are doing the right thing and pursuing a "scorched Earth" policy would be ill advised.

[1] Unless people won't buy from Apple even if they're the only game in town. But I doubt there's enough of those people to make a difference.

edit: formatting.

Re:Apple Reports Record Fourth Quarter Results by aetherson on Tuesday October 27, 2015 @07:59PM (#10462063)
As a point of order, I didn't suggest that Apple wipe out anything.

But, no, you're wrong, and the way you're wrong is doing an excellent job of demonstrating the problems with profit share.

There's not an amount of "profit" out there. There is sort of an amount of "revenue" out there. But Apple takes in a small minority of the revenue associated with smart phones, as demonstrated by their market share, which is something on the general order of 14%. The fact that other vendors are inefficient at turning their revenue into profits is neither here nor there.

Of course, the actual analysis is far more complicated than that, since the market isn't in fact a static thing. If Apple turned say half of their unit profits into price reductions, it would have enormous, chaotic effects on the smartphone market. I don't have the ability to predict what the end result would be, and neither does anyone here. But profit share doesn't tell us that Apple has no opportunity, and in fact it is a metric crafted to draw attention from the fact that Apple has a low market share, which does a better (though certainly imperfect) job of showing the opportunity.