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Re:Are “Better” Ideas More Likely to Succeed? An Analysis of... by jldugger on Monday August 17, 2015 @07:18PM (#10076723)
Just below that:

> We find no evidence, by contrast, that experts can effectively assess the commercial potential of venture ideas in non-R&D-intensive sectors such as consumer web and enterprise software.

Re:Are “Better” Ideas More Likely to Succeed? An Analysis of... by hooo on Wednesday August 19, 2015 @04:56PM (#10088433)
Doesn't this support what I said? They studied which ideas reached commercialization -- not how successful they were once commercialized.