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A comment on Are “Better” Ideas More Likely to Succeed? An Analysis of Startup Evaluation [pdf].

Re:Are “Better” Ideas More Likely to Succeed? An Analysis of... by hooo on Monday August 17, 2015 @07:14PM (#10076710)
> Using data on 652 ventures in multiple industry sectors, evaluated over an 8-year period, we find that ideas that elicit more positive evaluations are significantly more likely to ultimately reach commercialization.

It sounds to me that ideas with positive evaluations are more likely to be funded through to commercialization. Not a very interesting finding?

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Re:Are “Better” Ideas More Likely to Succeed? An Analysis of... by jldugger on Monday August 17, 2015 @07:18PM (#10076723)
Just below that:

> We find no evidence, by contrast, that experts can effectively assess the commercial potential of venture ideas in non-R&D-intensive sectors such as consumer web and enterprise software.

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Re:Are “Better” Ideas More Likely to Succeed? An Analysis of... by hooo on Wednesday August 19, 2015 @04:56PM (#10088433)
Doesn't this support what I said? They studied which ideas reached commercialization -- not how successful they were once commercialized.
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