spoinkaroo

I use the safari reader view mode as well. It is decent, but the black/grey setting with white text still looks a bit off.

I prefer the Evernote 'simplified article' mode through safari or chrome extentions. It provides a simplified article, background colour similar to HN, and enables highlighting and brief comments.

That being said, the safari one works fine. I use it for 99% of articles, and on the 1% I go back to Evernote if I want to save the article, make a couple of highlights, or leave a comment.

Is there a way to listen to podcasts without ads? I have tried Podblocker on the mac app store. It doesn't work very well.

It's interesting to see the degree that opinions have changed in time, the contrarian relationship between economic expectations and economic performance, and other fear mongering issues that don't tangibly affect people's quality of life. For the latter, these include National Security, Terrorism, Immigration, Government Satisfaction, Budget, ... really most of this stuff.

I wonder how the graph would look if the same question was posed to a set of 'experts'. Say a set of economists at top business schools, or really a spattering of economists from reputable universities.

My suspicion is the issues would suddenly become much more consistent. Especially with a focus on institutions, economic growth, tangible quality of life metrics, and efficacy of government redistribution programs among others 'real' measures.

It's not to say that fears over government functioning, or the economy, or morals are irrelevant - these factors shape how we perceive the world and subsequently how we feel. This graph displays how resilient we are to these emotionally charged 'issues'. The average poll respondent will likely continue following the general sentiment from media, conversations, etc. Meanwhile, tangible issues will continue to be acknowledged by a very small sliver of the population.

These sorts of results make me cynical of voting in general. Our current system with the electoral college, special interests, lobbying, advertisements etc. is already a clusterfuck. Ignoring experts opinions and focusing on emotionally charged issues is probably worse off for the country as a whole.

I, for one, am glad that voter preferences currently represent the preferences of elites when it comes to contentious issues. (see Martin Giles' Affluence and Influence). Our 'every person gets an equivalent vote regardless of education for the minority that actually votes across varying demographics with messed up electoral colleges and voting districts and advertising influences' ... system seems inefficient to me. While a dystopian future of 'educated elites' controlling voting isn't the answer, neither is an equivalent, electoral college based system. It encourages appealing to the lowest common denominator, and a whole lot of people are unintentionally voting against their own interests.

I hope your lending your shares to short sellers!

GPRO was egregiously expensive post-ipo but shorting the damn thing cost an arm and a leg. I haven't followed TWLO.

If you are as confident as you sound you may want to pay the 10 % annualized to short some shares, especially if it pops after the IPO.

I tend to get annoyed when people have extremely overconfident predictions yet don't act on them. Just responding to your parent comment, it's hard to tell how bullish your actually are on SNAP from a brief paragraph. I'm bullish also but won't touch the thing unless it gets into territory similar to GPRO.

So why not short the stock? You will likely have to wait until after the IPO and may pay an arm and a leg for the privilege with limited initial float, but it's entirely up to your discretion. Even more appealing if snapchat does well on the first day of trading.

The drop seems excessive to me, even taking into account BABA's daily performance. Bought some shares but didn't bother hedging against BABA so it's essentially an investment in BABA and baby arb, would definitely look into more serious hedging if I were managing more capital.

The yahoo dip is even larger, considering yahoo's stock is primarily Alibaba. If it were split into two companies the dip would likely be >20%.

How do you set this up in IB? I have a decent amount of long positions that this seems really useful on (especially since they will be selling float regardless)

Where do you see the future of crowdfunding, especially as crowdfunding spreads to outside of the western world?

How is your relationship with Charles Adler? It seems like you left kickstarter at similar times with similar motivations.

What kind of systems do you guys use for time tracking, priority organization, and achieving goals/finding meaning? I've flittered around with various systems, but never settled on anything. (Planning out my week in advance, time tracking from 15 minute intervals to morning intervals with what I have during the day, to do lists organized by urgent+important // important // urgent // neither, etc. It can be overwhelming, but I strongly suspect a system that makes me cognizant of my behavior, decisions, and where I am adding/finding the most value is superior to having no system at all.

Great post - and very accurate, if a bit black on white on the difference between low/high value content. Why do you think it is that 'low' value content is so prevalent - and we fail to refer to refer to actually high value content?

Do you think a service like a distilled wikipedia would be value - which would aggregate indisputable facts about the world around us. Both the IPCC reports on climate change and the Koran are very high value sources of information, and even offer summarized versions and lessons... yet people still don't refer to them whatsoever. Personally, it makes everyday conversation very frustrating as people continually fail to ground their stances in any semblance of fact or reality - and don't even begin to make an effort to do so.

I also currently resort to 'doing my homework' for researching these issues, but it seems like there has to be an easier way in a landscape with wikipedia, thousands of fact checking services, and access to high quality information in the form of reports academia that fails to materialize in conversation, policy, and isn't even aggregated if you aren't determined or an expert.

Great interface - I look forward to trying it out for various projects, and hope the beta goes well!

Agreed - I personally have a giant running to-do list which I use to put stuff down on and get out of my head, and then never look at it again.

This strategy seems very relevant and pertinent to me, especially the parts about delegating time, asking for actionable help / emails instead of meetings, and hiring good people. Very helpful for scheduling and structure.

Is there anything else you guys would add? For me, it doesn't seem to address motivation, setting aside time to complete deep work, and the circumstances where you'll actually output the most quality stuff.

The backlog is from ~2% down 'preorders', so isn't exactly accurate.

Though there is undoubtedly >15bn worth of demand for the M3, especially in light of tax incentives winding down.

Absurdly optimistic. Gross margin is ~20% excluding ZEV on their very high end models, the average price per car will be closer to 60k in 2020, probably around 55k (35k base will probably go to 60-70k with add ons), and Tesla will (maybe) be selling 300-500k cars annually in 2020.

3) accurate

4) Model 3 will be very capital intensive, especially in light of unforeseen problems such as recalls, competition (unlikely in the near term), and consumers opting to get the base model instead of the decked out one. I don't pay attention to solarcity, but generally have mixed vibes about the company. SpaceX, on the other hand, has very positive prospects IMO.

It's interesting that this college obsession for sports isn't just at the big state / football schools, but has trickled down to top tier universities and liberal arts schools. Many students continually get admitted in the area I grew up in for things like field hockey / crew / lacrosse / volleyball etc., while students qualified far more academically get rejected.

Glad that whole process is long behind me, and I wonder if sports are continually going to be prized as time goes on.

Why don't you add a chart of the individuals rankings that go into your score for each restaurant, similar to the image you advertise on hapibelly.com? similar to here: http://www.cinesift.com/#/

it's almost worth making a fake facebook / google for so many logins like these - to try new apps / websites / products

ditto.

Is this speech available in a plaintext format for ease of reading? I couldn't seem to locate it.

I'd be very interested in reading it if you decide to post it somewhere. I'm working on honing my own skills by reading a lot of books, through my main portfolio, and various paper portfolios.

Do you primarily manage your own money?

How difficult is it to achieve long term advantages over indexing?

Thanks for the tip. Is grayscale better for your eyes also? I'd imagine it would be.

True, but it is still far lower than I would have expected.

Where do I find the student / 5 person discount? I am a student and interested in purchasing.

The amount of people who moved for tax reasons is far lower than I would've expected. Only 2.2%

It lasts atleast 2-3 days, honestly I charge it every other day and run 3-5 days a week and it works great.