sleepyeldrazi
2nd, and maybe more importantly: KV is not as efficient (vram usage-wise) as something like deepseek v4 flash. for 256k, fp8 kv is 9.3gb (full precision ~17.3gb). deepseek v4 flash is ~2.5b for the same size at full precision (which is fp4/8, if you are interested in it, read the paper, its pretty cool).
Doing the math, hosting 27B at NVFP4 (~23gb) with 2.3M total ctx (9 agents) matches the vram usage of ds v4 flash for the same 2.3M ctx (2.3 agents). the break point is 1.5M (6 27B agents) if you use full precision 27B.
To be clear, the qwen3.5 architecture (what 3.8 uses) is still considered decent in terms of KV efficiency, its just that dsv4f's architecture is SOTA in that space, and with the lower active params, you get better max kv scaling and higher speed serving that, if you have a lot of gpus.
One somewhat related thing is that, without drafters (the models doing just generation) ts tends to slowly go down, while with drafters, as the model is "checking drafts" instead of pure generation, even when the avg ts has fallen to say 50 ts (27B, ~128k ctc for example), there still tend to be random spikes to up to 70 (mostly during coding), which is always funny to me but also makes models a bit more "resilient" to the slow degradation of ts.
For the sake of testing I turned MTP off, as that heavily depends on what the generated text is (structured text like code is very often a lot more predictable, therefore bigger boosts) and the quality of the quantization, as drafters learn how to "mimic" the full precision generated tokens, so when you layer the fact that MTP is a 'guesser' of the main model's next token, and quantization affecting what exact token is generated, it'd make comparisons like this needlessly noisy.
You can test this by running this nemo or 35B on the 3090. I have and its very fun (but sadly a worse model than 27B, so I usually keep 27B on my 3090)
As for the "cost", here i think the interesting arguments are around speed vs accuracy/"getting the job done", not literal $ cost per token.
Assuming I eat my words after going through the docs and this is actually a more efficient model / loras adapt better, I don't see as much value in it as is, as a REAP of it (remove least-important experts, domain-locked tests show ~98% retained accuracy) to something like 20B-A3B (rouhgly matching gpt oss, which while a good model, is outdated knowledge-wise and not as good with tool in my xp).
Having a 20B-A3B model at q4 that has a lora to be your local orchestrator (delegating coding to server/cloud models) and ci/cd runner does start sounding like an appealing proposition to me, as that would fit in 16gb vram easily (fitting many consumer gpus and 24gb macs).
As of writing this, it shows 24 offers between 700 and 950.
I really want to have a model that i can run locally on my 24gb m4 pro mbp for when i don't have internet to connect to my 3090 running the qwen, and i love how gemma 4 models 'feel', but i can't make them be competent. I am in the middle of finetuning both qwen3.5 9B and gemma 4 12B just to try and make those bridge closer to 27B for coding/agentic tasks (and am trying to ternarize and DQT 27B so that it fits in ~9gb pre-KV).
How do you run the gemma? What do you use it for (and in what harness), maybe llama.cpp and pi-mono just aren't for this model and that's what i'm doing wrong.
I made three versions, one with 128 experts kept, one with 150 and the biggest (borderline fitting one) with 180 experts out of 256. Experts kept are based around coding / agentic / research workloads.
Goal is to have a higher-precision (NVFP4) option to run the model, the original full ds4 already runs the IQ2XXS version. Custom CUDA kernels are written to try and best align the NVFP4 models to the Spark.
The K180 runs at around 119/122GB ram usage at the full 1M context, tested up to 32k prefill and was stable. For best memory efficiency, you might need DS4_CUDA_MANAGED_MODEL=1 DS4_KV_TURBO=1. More memory/bandwidth optimizations are coming, after that I plan on tackling re-adjusting the MTP heads (which would require re-training them on the new architectures).
Benchmarking hasn't been done yet, as I have mostly been busy with the CUDA. Treat as experimental.
Model links: https://huggingface.co/sleepyeldrazi/DeepSeek-v4-Flash-REAP-... https://huggingface.co/sleepyeldrazi/DeepSeek-v4-Flash-REAP-... https://huggingface.co/sleepyeldrazi/DeepSeek-v4-Flash-REAP-...
I have given up on making Opus actually retrieve online information for me. At this point I only query it side by side with qwen to laugh at how it didn't even attempt to search properly, and how a small local model is beating it every time. Gemini is very fast for searching, but somehow miss-sources all the time.
I have found claude models, especially fable, to be impossible to work with when the work requires reading papers from days ago and reasoning on top of the findings in it. I have multiple long sessions with opus (not as many with fable as it got taken down quickly) where it keeps fighting me on problems, sayings "that's not how it works" / "that is not possible", followed by me linking the paper (after i've told it to actually read up on the latest research in this field), and it hits me with the usual "You were right.". If your workflow is using the exact tools, frameworks, git layouts that claude expects, it can be magical, yes. But it is very heavily optimized to never say 'I am not sure' (as that gives 'bad vibes') and instead lean on its (nowadays with the speed of things DOE) knowledge to formulate a reasonable sounding answer, dissectible only if you already know the answer beforehand (which defeats the purpose of using it in the first place).
Qwen3.6 27B (the only <100B model worth looking at in my experience) is dumb, knows it, and will fight tooth and nail to complete the task it was given, gaining the needed context (online or file-wise) in the meantime. If you mention it should read papers, it goes and reads a pile of papers. If you tell it 'implement MCP in my app', the result will (probably) be catastrophic. If you instead describe where the feature should sit, how it should handle edge cases, what use cases it needs to attend to, and to first look online for reference implementations, it does it and does it well.
Knowing what is in context, what should and shouldn't be there, and how to manage it for the specific model you are using (as every model, even in the same family, behaves differently to differently worded prompts) is what makes or breaks them. They are just auto-complete, they complete text based on what is already there, it's not magic.
So yes, while this small open-weights models are not opus 4.5, it's good precisely because if that, because it is a good tool and a bad 'coworker replacement'. If you want the latter, kimi is already there, it has started to not believe the user and do what it was taught just like claude models (which is helpful when you don't care about implementation specifics or performance/security). GLM models (mostly 5.1, i haven't tested 5.2 extensively yet) have fixed a lot of low-level programming issues I've had that opus just walks in circles and writes reports that "it doesn't/can't work". That is to say, open-weights, in many cases, have already surpassed Opus. I can't comment on gpt 5.5, but while I used 5.4, it also performed a lot more tasks without being fussy than opus 4.6/4.7.
Ask HN: Local model experiences with 'high-reasoning distill' finetunes
What are your experiences with all the different variations of finetunes on small models (<40B) with those popular datasets? My personal experience is mostly with the 'Opus-Reasoning' ones on qwen models, and aside from the output being subjectively better looking (ascii charts and all), in actual coding performance every one I've tried tends to become a lot more overconfident, writing more...
It is a day/weekend worth of work, but I think this is the best way to determine if the model fits your need specifically. This is what lead me to finding out that qwen 27b outperformed even kimi on those tasks, and that opus tries gaslighting me when I give it a spec of something that has been proven, but no published solution exists online. All other models gave their best shot at solving it, opus just said it's not possible (even when I gave it the finished working product that obviously works).
Especially for small models (but also big ones) I think the only way to know if a model will improve your workflow is this, personal benchmarks, expanded over time, ran in private.
But jokes aside, I love the fast iteration, these are most probably again finetunes on the 3.5 architecture that appear better in internal testing, which is still very nice to see. Putting more and more pressure on the bigger labs to perform better is always a good thing.
But I do agree that the openrouter prices aren't a strong signal and probably should have worded it a little better. It's just a really stark and 'in your eyes' gap.
If you want a faster model, go for qwen3.6 35B (or gemma 4 26B if gemma models perform better for your tasks). There is a reason why people (myself included) haven't shut up about those two (especially the 27B). Its small enough to run at a decent speed (especially with the built in MTP that finally has official llama.cpp support) and for many workloads (every benchmark I have ever thrown at it) it is matching or surpassing models it has no right to.
A couple of days ago I woke up with my internet being down, started 27B in pi, told it to diagnose whats wrong by giving it my router's password, went to grab a coffee and by the time I got back, i had a full report with suggestion on how to proceed. I love openrouter and I use it for many things, but it is not cheaper.
Subjectivity and opinions based on personal experience with all those models implied naturally, I assume the 31B gemma has cases in which it edges out, I've just failed finding any and I have been running all 4 models mentioned since hours after each of them dropped nonstop for different tasks. Hell, for my hermes, I've started getting better results once I switched from gemma 4 26B to qwen3.5 9B, not even the massively improved 3.6 series. It just feels outdated/ cherrypicked to not use what by many accounts is the current consumer hardware SOTA if doing such an analysis.
As for the treating them as a block idea, that was my initial plan, but the GatedDeltaNet is doing most of the work in 3.5. Trying to bundle them together would hurt acceptance rates drastically, potentially making the speed benefits not a lot bigger, or smaller, than the native MTP.
The hard part was that the original Orthrus works with transformers, but 3.5(and 3.6) is Hybrid: 75% GatedDeltaNet + 25% GatedAttention. I am testing a trick that might make is work with the GatedDeltaNet, and dry runs are promising, but only a full train will reveal if it works. More information in the repo and on the site under the "What is this all about?" button.
Note: i may restart it or try different configs at different points, if the site is down there is probably some sort of result/conclusion in the repo.
If i ever decide to actually publish the site, is it alright if I mention you somewhere as a "If you want a more accurate estimation, check out this project:<your repo>", as i think there is value in having a simple website estimate this information for you, and give you instructions/ common flags on how to start it yourself (also a prompt crafted for you to optionally give to an llm to set it up for you), but im going off simple "choose an os, gpu/vram, here's a list of options" and not actually scanning (which is a lot more accurate).
That is precisely why my testing has been daily driving the model for everything + 8 tasks in a domain I care about. Could there be something very similar in their datasets? Of course, at least for most of the tasks, but if that lead to the good performance experience and results I'm getting, I am personally ok with that. I don't care how high the numbers are on the common benchmarks, only if it works well enough for me.
And if this model doesn't work for you, that's perfectly ok. Everyone has different needs from models. I was just impressed that it did for me, as it was a first from a local model.