saulmunn

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Prediction Market Conference (R. Hanson, patio11, Manifold/Polymarket, more)

Posted by saulmunn on Friday August 18, 2023 @08:34PM
from the manifestconference.net dept.

https://www.manifestconference.net

( Read More... | no comments | on HN )

Re:The future of AI according to thousands of forecasters on Tuesday June 27, 2023 @04:31PM (#36498236)

this isn't quite true -- on metaculus, accounts that have a history of forecasting things well are weighted more heavily