pico_creator
pico_creator on Hacker News
(original article author)
I view it more as a shortcut. We have trained 7B and 14B models from scratch, matching transformer performance with similar sized datasets.
This has been shown to even slightly outperform transformer scaling law, with the training we done from 1B to 14B. And we expect it to do so as we scale.
However as of this point, answering and settling that debate for good at 72B scale - is a $5 Million dollar bill. So for now, we use the short cuts, to just show that it actually works - and use that money to iterate and improve the architecture faster.
Posted by
pico_creator on Monday March 24, 2025 @06:58PM
from the substack.recursal.ai dept.
There is work done for Vision RWKV, and audio RWKV, an example paper is here:
https://arxiv.org/abs/2403.02308Its the same principle as open transformer models where an adapter is used to generate the embedding
However currently the core team focus is in scaling the core text model, as this would be the key performance driver, before adapting multi-modal.
The tech is there, the base model needs to be better
One of the interesting "new direction" for RWKV and Mamba (or any recurrent model), is the monitoring and manipulation of the state in between token. For steerability, alignment, etc =)
Not saying its a good or bad idea, but pointing out that having a fixed state in between has interesting applications in this space
There is a current lack of "O1 style" reasoning dataset in open source space. QWQ did not release their dataset. So that would take some time for the community to prepare.
It's definitely something we are tracking to do as well =)
kinda on a todo list, the model is open source on HF for anyone who is willing to make it work with lmarena
lower compute cost especially over longer sequence length. Depending on context length, its 10x, 100x, or even 1000x+ cheaper. (quadratic vs linear cost difference)
RWKV already solve the parallel compute problem for GPU, based on the changes it has done - so it is a recurrent model that can scale to thousands++ of GPU no issue.
Arguably with other recurrent architecture (State Space, etc) with very different design implementation. The issue of old recurrent design was just the way LSTM was designed. Not the recurrent nature.
Currently the strongest RWKV model is 32B in size:
https://substack.recursal.ai/p/q-rwkv-6-32b-instruct-previewThis is a full drop in replacement for any transformer model use cases on model sizes 32B and under, as it has equal performance to existing open 32B models in most benchmarks
We are in works on a 70B, which will be a full drop in replacement for most text use cases
Hey there, im Eugene / PicoCreator - co-leading the RWKV project - feel free to AMA =)
This is actually the hypothesis for cartesia (state space team), and hence their deep focus on voice model specifically. Taking full advantage of recurrent models constant time compute, for low latencies.
RWKV team's focus is still however is first in the multi-lingual text space, then multi-modal space in the future.
Someone is losing the money. It’s elaborated in the article how and why this happens
TLDR, VC money, is being burnt/lost
Im quite sure there is more than a 100 clusters even. Though that would be harder to prove.
So yea, it would be rough
I actually signed up for separate new account, to double check that my business account was not being favored or rigged in "private beta"
Its really not that hard to validate this claim, you can just rent for 4 hours at $1.50 - which is under $50
Also like I said, they are *not* the only one, shop around
Not at $0.5 (which the lower bound in their marketing), but $1.5 is very doable on right times (done so multiple times)
The article says $2. Which is quite consistent for a small cluster
Yup, but they at-least know where all these "small unused clusters" are.
Bag holders, do not want to be shouting to the world they are bag holders.
Also: how many of those consultants, have actually rented GPU's - used them for inference - or used them to finetune / train
Do we have actual fp8 numbers? (or i could proxy it by /2 the fp4)
Feel free to forward to the clients of "paid consultant". Also how do i collect my cut.
Given their rising stock price trend, due to their moves in AI.
Definitely worth it for them
I really suggest shopping around. <$2 SXM is a real thing, if your patient enough on the schedule.
Makes sense, though only folks like runpod / sfcompute / etc, have enough visibility to maybe pull this off?
Its a risker move - then just taxing the excess compute now, and print money on the margins from bag holders
Only if ur a collector (so no if ur plugging it in)
Hard to say, i mean A100's had the same freefall - and nvidia just grew with H100's
Q_Q yes - ur right on that - and i wrote the article (about a month ago)
You could technically break even at $2, assuming 100% allocation, and cheap electricity.
But reality is not 100%, so I would argue at-least 25% or even 50% drop in the H100 price (approx 50k each, after factoring other overheads)
~Cough~ not all cloud provider (there are many still willing to charge you an arm and a leg)
Only the ones who can give you below MSRP essentially
Yea, the older GPU providers, were pushing 3-5 year commits for a reason.
They seen this before