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miltondts

I used to think about this and used https://ficalc.app/ but given all the updated models and this report https://actuaries.org.uk/media/ni4erlna/planetary-solvency.p...

It doesn't seem strategies like this will work in the future. Even the least extreme predictions point to world economy contraction.

Re:The Long History of Nobody Wants to Work Anymore on Sunday July 30, 2023 @10:48AM (#36931689)
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ancient_history

"Ancient history covers all continents inhabited by humans in the period 3000 BC – AD 500."

From a quick read of the model used [0], it seems to simulate neurons and muscles at a functional level (not atoms or cell internals).

[0] - https://github.com/openworm/c302 (linked in the original github page)

First, H23 is not completed. Not sure what the H23 numbers represent.

Second, looking at the profit numbers in percentage:

H19: 4.5%

H20: 5.4%

H21: 5.8%

H22: 23.9%

Re:Ask HN: How does ChatGPT work? on Sunday December 11, 2022 @05:59AM (#33942139)
What I don't understand is where is the memory? How does GPT-3 or ChatGPT remember so much information with just that architecture? It would seem that the maximum it could remember is 2048 words.

EDIT: Maybe it's 2048 x 96? Still seems low for what it can do.

I'm fairly sure GPT-3 can't do any of that, because it was trained only with text. That is, it was trained without the context we are exposed to. Now imagine if it was trained with a body (similar sensors to what we have) in the real world. I'm not so sure we wouldn't get something indistinguishable from a human.
Re:Net-zero commitments could limit warming to below 2 °C on Monday August 01, 2022 @11:29AM (#32307434)
Depends on the model used. Some models say we already have 2C locked in: https://www.ecowatch.com/greenhouse-gases-paris-agreement-26...
Re:Climate change is not just about Carbon Dioxide on Wednesday July 13, 2022 @06:44AM (#32080933)
Found something that could in fact trigger mass extinction due to acidification [0,1], however not on the stated timeline.

[0] - https://phys.org/news/2022-05-diatoms-threat-decline-due-oce...

[1] - https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-022-31128-3

Re:Climate change is not just about Carbon Dioxide on Monday July 11, 2022 @06:37PM (#32063041)
Does anyone have references for these claims? Particularly:

> pH will drop to pH7.95 by 2045, and most marine life in our oceans dissolve.

Re:Einstein-Bohr debate settled once and for all on Saturday July 09, 2022 @08:43AM (#32034526)
"Explicit construction of Local Hidden Variables for any quantum theory up to any desired accuracy"

https://arxiv.org/abs/2103.04335

Or right in the page I linked: "This makes it possible to construct a local hidden-variable theory that reproduces the predictions of quantum mechanics, for which a few toy models have been proposed."

Re:Einstein-Bohr debate settled once and for all on Saturday July 09, 2022 @08:39AM (#32034501)
Regarding global conspiracy:

"Explicit construction of Local Hidden Variables for any quantum theory up to any desired accuracy"

https://arxiv.org/abs/2103.04335

Regarding unfalsifiable, from [0] "If engineers ever succeed in making such quantum computers, it seems to me that the CAT is falsified; no classical theory can explain quantum mechanics." By "such quantum computers" he means computers that can run Shor's algorithm. "...but factoring a number with millions of digits into its prime factors will not be possible – unless fundamentally improved classical algorithms turn out to exist."

[0] - https://arxiv.org/abs/1405.1548

Now, this does not mean these theories are ready, but they are being worked on.

Re:Einstein-Bohr debate settled once and for all on Saturday July 09, 2022 @06:14AM (#32033577)
I just want to correct some comments that say we are certain there are no local variables and that they have been ruled out experimentally.

This is false information and even Bell himself knew it:

"There is a way to escape the inference of superluminal speeds and spooky action at a distance. But it involves absolute determinism in the universe, the complete absence of free will."

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Superdeterminism#Overview

Re:Moving Beyond Mimicry in Artificial Intelligence on Tuesday July 05, 2022 @07:38AM (#31986985)
Perhaps the most important notion of semantics is that of referent. Pretty sure you can't develop that without an agent that can interact with the environment.
Re:The Power of Prolog on Monday June 06, 2022 @03:07PM (#31644516)
Not exactly Prolog, but there is miniKanren. You can check a list of implementations here: http://minikanren.org/#implementations
Re:Ask HN: I am lost in life. How do I fix this? on Tuesday May 31, 2022 @11:57AM (#31571108)
Depends on the community. For research, check your local university. You can ask around in relevant departments. Don't be afraid, some researchers are more than happy to collaborate.
Re:Ask HN: I am lost in life. How do I fix this? on Tuesday May 31, 2022 @09:23AM (#31569164)
I did something like you. I also faced many of your issues and to solve it, I was also super focused on me, me, me. Trying to be better, more motivated, healthier, more exercise, better sleep etc etc.

Now that I know myself better, I realize I need to be integrated in a community with similar objectives, even when doing individual work. Otherwise, creative and/or research work is too demanding. However, everyone is different.

Re:Poll: How are you doing currently? on Saturday May 28, 2022 @04:41AM (#31538690)
"At some point she decided she'd rather stay there permanently."

I don't know anything about you or your relationship, but in my experience that is not how a healthy relationship works. The couple decides together what is best for both. So right there that seems like a huge red flag. Another thing is. Have you talked with her about your difficulties? Finally, it's probably a good idea to talk to a therapist (or a good friend) to get some outside perspective. Hope you get better soon.

Edit: Also, most foreigners share the same experience of moving to Japan.

> That is, modern finance and the law also attempt to deal with intent.

It does? Maybe for the poor, but certainly not for the rich/corporations.[1]

[1] - https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/fandd/2019/09/tackling-...

Re:Invade Haiti, Wall Street Urged. The U.S. Obliged on Sunday May 22, 2022 @11:51AM (#31469462)
From [1]: “economic elites and organized groups representing business interests have substantial independent impacts on U.S. government policy, while mass-based interest groups and average citizens have little or no independent influence.”

And "The bigger spender wins congressional races 91 percent of the time" [2].

But if that's not credible enough for you maybe go see the speech by President Eisenhower [3].

Don't you remember the "weapons of mass destruction" in Iraq?

There are so many examples that I have no idea how you think this is a conspiracy theory. There is no need for that, people just act on their perceived best interest, and when you have the top ~1000 people controlling almost every asset, isn't it obvious that they will dictate the course of history?

[1] - https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-cage/wp/2014/04/0...

[2] - https://www.vox.com/2014/10/27/7077647/midterms-spending-mon...

[3] - https://www.history.com/this-day-in-history/eisenhower-warns...

Re:Critique of Techno-Feudal Reason on Saturday May 07, 2022 @12:40PM (#31296160)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Feudalism#See_also

Indian feudalism

Feudal Japan

Feudalism in Pakistan

Fengjian (Chinese)

Etc

This is so easy to find that I can't understand how people on the internet make these kind of questions and even add the "in your view".

Yep, this narrative is highly questioned in this book: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lucio_Russo#The_Forgotten_Revo...

If I'm not mistaken, there is quite a bit of evidence that they knew the correct model was with the Sun in the center and they only used epicycles because it was easier to calculate with the tools they had (compass etc).

EDIT: I think the argument is at section "10.12 Seleucus and the Proof of Heliocentrism" of the book.

Check some of the compounds that are being investigated here: https://www.lifespan.io/road-maps/the-rejuvenation-roadmap/

Fisetin among others seems to have some promise, however how much this will impact lifespan is unknown. Fisetin probably not much, partial reprogramming (OSKM etc) maybe a bit more.

The more I look at software from the 80-90s, even the 60s the more it seems it has barely moved in terms of capabilities.

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