lbrito

That hardly matters if he's right, does it?

He says a lot of things, but one specific thing I remember from weeks ago is that he said Anthropic growth slowed on Q3, and that's why they decided to push for the IPO (and use only Q2 numbers).

Zitron has been saying this for months.

Its the other way around; you might be the one seeing a tiny portion (curated blogs, specialty forums like HN etc). The majority of the internet is SEO garbage, LLM garbage and walled gardens

That's only one side of the article's point though. The other, more consequential part is:

>Like most writers, I find writing an almost-essential tool for thinking. Often it's only by writing something down, that I can really get my thoughts on a topic into coherence. ... . As more people delegate writing to LLMs they will also delegate thinking and comprehension to LLMs.

There's an analogy with LLM coding that is so screamingly obvious I'm embarrassed to point it out (changing "writer" for "programmer").

I'm curious to know if the author, given who he is, thought of it (he had to, its just too obvious) and what he thinks of it.

>Like many things, learning to be a good writer relies on lots of practice. It's a skill worth the time to acquire, but surrendering to an LLM will undermine any progress.

I assume that only applies to natural language, not computer languages?

"[not having AI psychosis is] bullshit and loser thinking."

Seems like dhh has a new pupil

This is great

Say I open a premium lemonade stand. I buy Walmart lemonade for $1 and resell it for $2. I have around 10 customers a day, but 2 of them buy 1,000 litres of lemonade each. The rest just buy a single cup. I'm making amazing profit.

There's just one detail: those 2 high-volume customers are buying my lemonade and re-selling them at a loss for $1 at another neighbourhood. Supposedly some high-profile Japanese bank is financing their lemonade purchasing expenses for eye-wateringly high interest rates. I've heard its well into the double digits. But that's not important, because the future is right around the corner - I can feel it - and in the future everyone wants lemonade. Thousands of litres of it. So even if those two customers go away, things will be fine!

It will all work out in the end. This is a totally sustainable business model. In fact I'm even thinking of going public.

>I do expect SpaceX to face consequences in the years to come.

Why?

That's the gameboy advance intro though

Apologies for my subpar manic traits, I pledge to be better next time

Is that a serious answer?

This is supposed to be The technology that will colonize the universe, and you're saying "Games are being remixed" is the happening we're supposed to be excited about? That's the hockey stick inflection point?

>We are at the bottom of a science, knowledge & art hockey stick chart, we're staring up at it and the steep bit is labeled "the future".

I've never seen so much faith outside of a religious setting. Do you have any proof of this at all, or is it a faith-based system?

Its been 4 _years_ since GPT 3.5's release. Where are all these marvels people keep saying are just around the corner?

That's not the point though. Why do AI boosters keep moaning about how "AI is already is will be better than everyone in field X in Y months" continuously for _years_? Don't you see the incongruence in claiming that continuously over long periods of time?

Why aren't we there yet?

I've been hearing this bullshit for 3 years. Its always x months away. Are we fucking there yet?

"[Linus] ends every session with a lengthy cleanup pass that takes a couple of hours to run, executing tasks like ensuring that the code matches the comments. That amount of work cannot be done with a free LLM account. I asked whether that risked cutting off bright new developers that we would rather hang onto; Torvalds answered that the kernel project only wants serious developers. That includes having access to enough resources to function in this world."

There's this trend in the last couple of years of very successful software engineers heartily endorsing AI usage - I can think of Matz, dhh, Linus, uncle Bob. Probably a lot of other people I don't follow too closely.

I can't pinpoint a common motivation for all of them, other than the obvious (the tools are great and are the future, if you think otherwise you're a loser (paraphrasing dhh) etc).

I think at least at some level, these people are at a point of their careers where they have "been there, done that" (coding) and are happy to go do something else.

All of them have in common not having written code in a long time, instead reviewing patches from others, so the AI thing isn't really too different from what they've been doing for a long time.

Here's Linus' diatribe if you haven't seen it - https://lkml.org/lkml/2026/10/13/3242

>Since no one likes identifying themselves as a slimy businessperson with a potential personality disorder,

Eh, you'd be surprised.

The secret is to stop caring.

You can go and live in cardboard boxes right now for free. Why aren't you? Being technically legal or not is besides the point - there are places where it is tolerated.

This analogy hinges on the economic argument (that a robot costs 200x less than a human), but far from being an established fact, that notion is more or less entirely based on vague, misleading and exaggerated claims from the token peddlers.

The truth is no one knows how much the robot costs, and we probably won't know until its too late. Its extremely naive, though, to simply buy into the PR from the peddlers and redistribute their propaganda verbatim in the way you are doing. Although none of us know for sure, considering R&D, infrastructure capex and externalities, the robots are most definitively _not_ cheap.

Soon enough the clankers will automate that part too. I'm eager to see how "liberated" those people are going to feel then.

Travel agents still exist though; while I couldn't find employment numbers, I wouldn't be surprised if there were more today than 20 years ago (something something's Paradox)

Now, what you're describing is really about the "culture of convenience". People prefer Expedia to human travel agents because it reduces friction (of interacting with people). Same goes for Uber, Waymo and so on. Good piece on it - https://www.cbc.ca/radio/ideas/cult-of-convenience-9.7371392

I'm glad someone else called out Matz on this.

He started being ambivalent about it maybe two years ago, and reached metastasis in the latest Rails World fiasco, with dhh telling him to his face that his life's work (Matz's terms) is irrelevant now.

What a great phrase!

>When people claim that it’s no longer sustainable to write code by hand, they’re not entirely wrong, but only in the same way that it’s no longer sustainable to sleep in a bed once someone has taken a shit in it.

I was thinking about this recently. HN is of course much older than the current AI hype cycle, but maybe its time to update HN policies to forbid bots, and start thinking about ways to enforce that. There might not be any 100% tamper-proof way nowadays, but reducing the bots by some percentage will still be a win.

Token peddler says best way to do something is using more tokens.

This is not HN-worthy

That's factually incorrect, and shouldn't be allowed here.