justiceforsaas
Claude Fable 5 vs. GPT-5.5: better planning, similar execution
Claude Fable 5 vs. GPT-5.5: Better Planning, Similar Execution
SOTA Models Should Learn to KISS (Claude Fable 5 Experiment)
Agents.md may trick us into writing better docs
No OpenAI, I Won't Pay $10k/Month for Your AI Agent
DuckDuckGo to start providing "AI-assisted" answers
This is going to radicalize people (especially conspiracy theorists) who now think have actual, indisputable "proof" these companies are there to get them.
[1] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=25529479
[2] https://www.firstpayingusers.com
[3] The only exception were e-commerce companies, they were much more likely to rely solely on FB vs. SaaS Companies
Later in the post:
> Had we had more funding, we would have taken the time to rewrite our app in $ELITELANG instead. Our startup could have been a unicorn.
Although this is satire, it's something a lot of funded startups do. They think they've solved user acquisition by getting investors money (hey, let's throw a couple thousands at Google/FB Ads, although there are 15+ viable acquisition channels we could try [1]), and spend time on building things in their own bubble.
Also, the launch mention is pretty accurate:
> We launched v2 of our product with a splash.
Wonder if many startups would have better results if flipped the switch and treated product creation as a "launch" (a bunch of big sprints with a deadline) and user acquisition as something they do steadily, over a period of time.
[1] https://zerotousers.substack.com/p/15-acquisition-channels-i...
Acquisition Channel Opportunities #001
I just went and opened 10 random Reddit threads on the front page to read the top comments, and found only 2 where this was true, and 8 where this was totally false, most notably [1].
The main reason for negative comments here on HN (IMO) is a self-fulfilling prophecy. People have learned that usually the #1 comment is a negative one, so you have a bunch of people "competing" to be #1 by trying to nitpick whatever is wrong with the original article (even if there is none) in hope to win the popularity contest.
This is why I've seen some friends recently leave HN (their exact words: "couldn't hand the toxicity"). I hope that you, as a Head of Growth, can actively work to break this cycle.
[1] https://www.reddit.com/r/TrueOffMyChest/comments/jw8xbe/if_w...
"A Product Hunt launch can easily get you a spike in traffic, but afterwards I really don't know what I'm doing".
Here are some tips to help with this:
1) Explore more "steady" acquisition channels. Yes, PH/HN are "spike-y" channels and they're often not enough to have a business generating sustainable income. Read "Traction" by Gabriel Weinberg (I'm also doing some research on this topic [1]).
2) Maybe flip the script and do the opposite? Choose 1 or 2 promising projects, and do "six months of exploring user acquisition". Test SEO, FB/Google Ads, partnerships, affiliates, appstores and so on.
Good luck!
That's the whole point of micro-bets. You acknowledge the fact that a small % of them will generate any meaningful $, so you deliberately minimize your losses by making the bets small.
Take this from a guy who spent 2 years studying distribution channels [1]. There's nothing wrong about spending a week or two developing a MVP before focusing on distribution.
I think the key is to start with 1) The minimum thing you can do and call a 'product' 2) Try to promote/distribute it to see the response. So far you've done:
a) A web page explaining what your product is about
Some steps to (progressively) get to a "better" MVP may be:
b) Make a video showcasing your product (which can be a simple Figma design with static screens that show once you click on them)
c) Build a feature that's high on the ICE Scoring model [2], and distribute that
d) Build a meaningfully different feature than c) and promote it as a SEPARATE product. Let your features be like split tests you promote on the same/different distribution channels and see how they perform.
[1] https://firstpayingusers.com
[2] https://university.hygger.io/en/articles/2288376-ice-scoring
That's not the case, however, with acquisition channels (a topic I write extensively about [1]), or your audience (they come with pre-defined beliefs/behaviors that are hard to change.)
Having this in mind, it makes more sense to focus first on analyzing a) The audience b) The channels through which you can reach to them. Once you get enough knowledge about these 2, you can create a pretty good startup idea WITHIN these constraints.
This is why people have invented things like market-product fit or product-channel fit [2]. I'd like to add that you're more likely to succeed if you FIT your idea TO the channel/audience, rather than doing the reverse.
Would love to hear other perspectives on this topic.
[1] https://firstpayingusers.com
[2] https://brianbalfour.com/essays/product-channel-fit-for-grow...
I wonder if the "law of shitty clickthroughts" [2] applies here as well. What if you have a huge # of founders reading the advice; acting on it and starting new businesses just because Paul Graham told them so? Then starting a startup in a bad economy would no longer be an advantage. Somewhere in May Gumroad founder tweeted that they have record numbers of people signing up, and that may be an early sign that thing sort of thing is already happening.
1) They define "growth" as a stage that goes AFTER raising money. As a founder, growth (planning, executing) should come before you ask for a single dollar (unless you're something like a hardware startup that needs bigger upfront investment). I write about this topic extensively [1] and one of the main differences I found between successful vs. failed founders is whether or not they found viable acquisition channels from the moment they started. Also, in many cases, raising money (too fast) was associated with a bigger chance of failure.
2) They associate a "startup" with getting financing rounds. 0 mentions for bootstrapped founders. Last time I checked [2], a startup is "a company or project undertaken by an entrepreneur to seek, develop, and validate a scalable economic model."
A better title for this article would be would be: "There are only 3 startup stages for funded startups requiring bigger upfront investment".
1. Credible ($2.5k/mo), a Shopify app to display recent sales:
"The other primary source of growth has been through Shopify itself. Shopify is amazing at promoting their apps. They take a 20% cut of your subscription fees, but it's well worth it in what they provide for you. When you first launch an app on the store, they feature it in the "New & Upcoming" section for store owners to get a first glimpse of your app. After you prove yourself with some solid growth and positive reviews, they will feature you in the main "Featured" section of the store. Both of these were huge for our growth. When Shopify put us on their main featured page, we netted about 180 new recurring customers." [2]
2. Shogun ($4.5k/mo), drag-and-drop page builder:
"When we launched on Shopify, sales began to trickle in and have been growing ever since. We've been attracting users in the Shopify app store from the beginning with very little marketing, and we got featured by Shopify fairly early on, which gave us a good boost. Now most of our new customers are through word of mouth or the Shopify app store." [3]
[1] https://firstpayingusers.com
[2] https://www.indiehackers.com/interview/how-i-grew-my-app-to-...
[3] https://www.indiehackers.com/interview/struggles-we-faced-bu...
1. SnapShooter ($1k+/mo), a tool to create daily backups of DigitalOcean droplets:
" I tried sponsoring blog articles with a little bit of success." [2]
2. BugFender ($35k/mo), a log storage service for app devs:
"Here's what didn't work: sponsoring developer newsletters and podcasts" [3]
The reason for this (IMO) is that most products that advertise themselves (especially on dev blogs) are not unique/compelling enough. Why should you buy a sponsored app logger when you know 10 other look-alikes with 5 other friends using them? The fact that these guys managed to invest $6k and get $200k in return from sponsoring a blog just shows how unique/compelling/valuable their value prop. is. Good luck!
[1] https://firstpayingusers.com
[2] https://www.indiehackers.com/interview/how-starting-small-he...
[3] https://www.indiehackers.com/interview/turning-an-internal-c...