jones6ofMont

You take 1000 economists and ask them for opinions on a certain problems, you will get hundreds if not thousand different solutions. If you do math say a million mathematicians/physicists, you will almost always get a few if not 1 solution to the problem. By the way, Nobel for economics isnt even part of original Nobel. It basically force fed into it and tag with Nobel label. Economics is essentially just common sense applicable at the specific time...at other times it will fail.

Situation is even worst. In USA now , Joe is top military commander. I couldnt even understand his speech most of the time. I am guessing the generals will be equally confused as well.

You forgot HK. There are literally billions of American companies depended on Chinese labor inside China as well. Walmart would collapse literally overnite if Xi just restrict Walmart buying anything from China. Heck Xi can revive Kmart just by allowing Kmart to do so instead. I dont see American able to get away with TikTok ban. China could easily retaliate by supporting demise of Ukraine and blowing up Norway pipes. Eu especially Germany if dare to retaliate will face severe recession...in the range of 30+% unemployment. Americans 2 carrier fleets could go down with 40K American casualties with hypersonic missiles (remember Talebans defeated Americans, China would be like Talebans Star Trek). That kind of blow would be similar to Spanish Armada defeat outcome. And we not even talking about GoT styles of assassinations. Look up Chinese 5000 years history of assassinations (NK used one to get rid of the brother). Americans are not used to assassinations of whole families. They only thought of immediate killings of the main persons within a specific time frame. In Chinese cultures, assasinations play out longer term like decades and total anhinilation...they even have life motto based on that call exterminating grass by pulling out all the roots. Do you think there are enough Secret service to protect Fortune500 execs and their families? They dont even have enough to protect their congress members. You think Putin pollonization was horrible, then realized entire GoT was based on actual Chinese history set in Jin Dynasty.

Doubt so. Many of my Asian collegues aghast seeing Euro zone commiting economic suicide. Without Putin cheap energy, Russo-Indo-Sino-African huge market, plus extreme competitions from Chinese+Indian, Euro will not be prosperous. There was one centuries old company in Germany collapse bankrupt because of the support of Ukraine causing economic downturn. All my colleagues and friends in high places private side are finalizing retrenchment and liiquidation for coming quarters. Everyone of then blame it on stupid government policies of supporting Ukraine. Euro political parties arent that independent from controls of Dems and Rep in USA. As sanity, if you are having Asian views, none would use the wording sane to describe any of Euro parties.

This time is different. A small minority can brought in luggages of votes and use vote machines to change the elections outcome. We are witnessing the beginning of fall of Rome and Brits for America. You can see American society today are so dysfunctional that for the first time in history US military couldnt get enough recruit, male can walk into female changing room and beat any women sports simply by identifying as female gender. American Presidency now actively giving free money to Ukraine rather than helping veterans avoiding suicide or San Fran homeless from shitting on the road side and pricking themselves with needles. When banks collapse because of excessive risk taking, US government is quick to bailout regardless if they have the financial means to do so because they can just print money at will (when Rome, Mongol and Brits fell, excessive money printing was one of the core factors of their downfall). The easiest explaination for what American going through now is basically they are at the end of their dynasty and losing mandate from heaven. Anything else is just side commentaries. We just have to wait for a big war say Russo-Ametican nuke war of Sino-American to mark the end. Hopefully we wont see nuke wars playing out. But seeing John Titor's description of his own timeline, plus karma thing, I am betting America will get nuked sometime in future.

Fed can just print another 20 trillions. Treasury can mint a special 10T USD coin to payback FED. Nothing needs to give. As long as people have "faith" in USD, the music will continue...but those damn Yuan and Rubbles. Taht we need ro launch another Iraq war with China and Russia. They have WMD that we can blame on and get our boys there with poker cards - a version for the Russian and a version for the Chinese. Surely we can beat them as easily as Iraqis? Ignore Afghan - we always intended to replace Talebans with Talebans while we wash 10T USD for congress money laundry.

I really appreciate China has mandatory death sentence for financial crime unlike western world (only this, not other Chinese punishments). A banker can swindle millions causing many suicides or dying without medical care, while a single black firing a shot killing a bystander getting the gallow. Guest BLM really stand for "bankers live matter".

Why? Is FSB worst than say Google+MS+Amazon on CIA books? The mess, death and mayhem created by CIA are well documented and some worse than FSB (remember FSB is NOT KGB because Russia now is a democratic country and not a communist USSR). BTW, CIA also running rendition program similar to what Jack Bauer going through except the bad guys are him after all in real life. I am sure vast majority of HN users had their privacy severely violated by CIA+FBI way more than FSB. Heck CIA even backdoor consumer chipser some years back. Based on what Snowden disclosed, I am not surprise if today situation are even worse. I would take FSB bads over CIA+FBI misdeeds ANY day. Definitely will be checking out Yandex open source contribution. I care codes more than whatever political afflictions of coders have.

She will preside over the Great Recession 2.0 just like Bernanke. Nothing wrong due to her really, she just inherited the mess that never got cleared since Bernanke time. By then she will need a Nobel to match Bernanke.

Yeah. Routinely I encounter premeeting for the upcoming premeeting for the agenda preparation of actual meeting. It is like Leo's Inception for meeting. Sometime even reaching 6-7 layers deep of "pre". Doubt anyone find it meaningful.

Basic stuff like eggs, noodles, rents align quite consistently with shadowstat. Even iPhone top model prices after 2010s seems to follow shadowstat numbers. The problem is China production. We enjoyed years of "deflations" pressure from "Made in China" and USD being hugely popular. Going forward with immense dedollarisation pressure (petrorubbleyuan) and rising cost of Made in China and lower quality from Made in India (India is currenrly in early stage of manufacturing curve so quality is not there yet) would increase our inflation. Even if it is not going Turkeye style, a persistent high inflation of 6-9% EVERY YEAR without strong USD demand will make shadowstat numbers more and more realistic than government's.

These loans will have special clauses for banks not to pay back, or pay back very much later wothout any consequences for not doing so. Somwtimes Fed as write down these debts. It is QE just the free money parts need some dressing so peasants won't know about it.

Grady only refute it but couldnt e plain or furnish proof. Is like FBI having the laptop and server data proof of wrong doing and then said no intent which isn't a thing in the context of broken law that should be charged. UML is one of the worst Software Engineering invented. I have in 6 different IT companies that basically throw away and internally banned UML. It is just too slow and treat all programming as solved like in the 80s and 90s. If you follow UML uou wont be able to create GPT in hundred years! Grady is outdated dino that shouldnt even been credited with anything.

Solution is force rake over of adjacent rurals and build good and cheap housings only for young couples and young families. The elderly will be forced to move to special old folks home away from you people. This is the only way to reverse Japanese ageing population. Having old people devalues the place and make it unproductive and stuck there. Then give a special work pass to foreign women such as those Philipines and Chinese to provide a base of young fertile women in the city to attract working men to look for brides. Any these women married Japanese men and having children will be granted with citizenship. It is doable. It is just too mamy old people blocking the solution...the only workable solution. Anything else, just frame my statement, will fail. See you in 25 years later and see how true my statements are.

Americans looted Iraq oil, so that war wasnt that costly. They tried to do the same with Afghanistan lithium mines, but in 20 years Americans never ever able to control the land greater than 50%. So the majority of Bush war cost wjich amounts to 10-20T weigh down by Afghan humiliating defeat.

Not necessary true. Many non muslim Arabs adopted Christian name. In fact the name is more of "western name". Same with millions of Chinese who are Buddhist or Taoist and yet have this kind of Christian Western name.